Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Gonna double up on this game as in addition to taking the Canadiens on the puckline, I do think this will be low scoring with two Hall of Fame netminders playing stellar hockey in Montreal's Carey Price and Vegas' Marc-Andre Fleury. Price is No. 2 in these playoffs with a 1.97 GAA and Fleury is second at 1.91. Both teams play a more defensive style. The Under is 5-2 in the Canadiens last 7 games as an underdog.
The Canadiens have been off resting for a while now while the Golden Knights are coming off a hard fought series against the Aves. Once again, we will see these teams face off for the first time this season in the semifinals and I think it favors the underdog. The Canadien division was easily the worst in the NHL this season and there were some extreme results in their playoffs with the Oilers and the Jets getting swept. However, I think the Canadeins have nothing to lose tonight and their goalie is one of the only ones in the league that can go shot for shot with Marc-Andre Fleury. The value on puck lines in the playoffs is non-existent, so I will take the Canadiens in a flyer to steal Game 1.
The one worry with taking the puckline here is that if the Habs are down a goal in the final minutes, they will pull Carey Price to try and tie things up and could allow an empty net goal to lose by two. Those are the risks we take, though. I think Vegas probably wins, but I don't consider the Knights good value at -260 so puckline it is at -125.