While I'm not a hockey sharp, I know a good price when I see one, and that's precisely what this is. St. Louis is being underestimated after getting creamed in Game Three, but I like the Blues chances of bouncing back to even up the series on Monday night.

The Blues were outscored and outplayed on Saturday by a wide margin. The Bruins were 4/4 at scoring on the power play and scored seven goals on 24 shots leading to Jordan Binnington getting pulled. The Bruins are the better team, but the Blues are playing for their Stanley Cup lives tonight. If they lose both games at home and go back to Boston down 3-1, this series is over. So I like the Blues to come out firing and finally stay disciplined for the first time this series. They got a steady dose of the Bruins power play last game so hopefully they have finally learned that they can’t win when they take penalties.

After a pair of close games, the Bruins ran roughshod over the Blues in Game 3. Now it's Game 4 in St. Louis, and my projections show a much-closer game. That said, Boston is still the better team regardless of game location -- they win nearly 60 percent of my simulations and at a very reasonable price.