Philipp Grubauer has transformed the Colorado Avalanche into a solid defensive hockey team. Over Grubauer's last 15 games, the Avalanche are 11-4 giving up a total of just 25 goals. In 13 of his last 15 games, he has allowed two or fewer goals. San Jose is an extremely talented hockey team and should take the series. However, the Sharks are coming off a seven-game series against Las Vegas that they should've lost. I'm expecting a tremendous letdown from the Sharks in Game 1 on Friday.

The Sharks are way undervalued in this matchup on home ice. I have San Jose winning 61 percent of simulations in game one of this series. Lay it.

The Sharks are way undervalued on home ice to open the series against Colorado. I love the value on the puck line -1.5 (+205). Look for a big game from Tomas Hertl and the empty net goal to give the Sharks a 2+ goal advantage at the end of the 3rd period.