Of all the players taking part in the six NFL Super Wild-Card Weekend games from Saturday-Monday, the one who rushed for the most yards during the regular season was Cincinnati's Joe Mixon with a career-high 1,205, so no surprise that Caesars Sportsbook oddsmakers list Mixon as the +500 favorite to lead all players in rushing this round. The Bengals are 5.5-point home favorites Saturday afternoon vs. the Las Vegas Raiders.
It will be a bit chilly and breezy in Cincinnati on Saturday so that could lead to the Bengals perhaps running the ball a bit more than they normally might. Mixon missed Week 18 in the COVID protocols but probably wouldn't have played anyways – most Bengals starters didn't – and cleared protocols early this week.
In Week 11 in Las Vegas, Mixon rushed for 123 yards and two scores on 30 carries in a 32-13 victory. The carries were a season high and the yardage was his third-highest of the year. Mixon didn't top more than 65 yards rushing in his final five games but also didn't top 19 carries in any as Cincinnati went pass-heavy. The Raiders ranked 19th in the NFL in allowing 114.8 rushing yards per game.
San Francisco rookie Elijah Mitchell (+600), Pittsburgh rookie Najee Harris (+700) and Las Vegas' Josh Jacobs (+700) round out the favorites on this prop. Like Mixon, they will all be making their postseason debuts.
Jacobs had just nine carries for 37 yards in the first Bengals meeting but closed the season with a career-high 132 yards on 26 carries against the Chargers even though Jacobs clearly is less than 100 percent with a ribs issue. Both Mitchell (knee) and Harris (elbow) are less than 100 percent, too.
Mitchell and the Niners visit Dallas on Sunday, and the teams didn't meet during the regular season. The Cowboys were in the bottom third this year in allowing 4.5 yards per carry.
Harris and the Steelers visit Kansas City on Sunday. Harris, who broke Franco Harris' rookie franchise record with 1,200 rushing yards, had 93 yards rushing on 19 carries in Pittsburgh's 36-10 blowout loss at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 16.
Of the teams playing Wild-Card Weekend, Tampa Bay had the best rush defense in allowing 92.5 ypg. The Bucs are hosting the Eagles on Sunday and Philly's Miles Sanders is +2200 on this prop. Quarterback Jalen Hurts is +2500; he led the team with 784 yards rushing.
The worst rush defense among playoff teams belongs to Pittsburgh, which allowed an NFL-worst 146.1 ypg. Kansas City basically splits carries between Darrel Williams (+2500) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+3500).
Caesars Sportsbooks favorites to lead Wild-Card Weekend in rushing
- Joe Mixon +500
- Elijah Mitchell +600
- Najee Harris +700
- Josh Jacobs +1000
- Damien Harris +1200
- Leonard Fournette +1200
- Ezekiel Elliott +1200
- Devin Singletary +1200
NFL free pick: Mitchell +600
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