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Lions vs. Rams NFL Week 7 spread, odds: Matthew Stafford favored for more touchdown passes Sunday than winless Detroit season victories

Lions-Rams looks like a huge mismatch Sunday but has the Jared Goff-Matthew Stafford storyline.
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Sunday's Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams matchup might be a blowout by halftime with the Lions the NFL's lone winless team and the Rams as Super Bowl contender and 16-point favorites. So while the game itself may lack drama, the clear storyline is Jared Goff vs. Matthew Stafford after those two quarterbacks and former No. 1 overall picks were traded for one another this past winter. Could Stafford actually have more touchdown passes Sunday than Detroit has victories this year? SportsLine offers odds.

Detroit could easily have two wins by now but lost 19-17 on mega-long field goals as time expired in both Week 3 vs. Baltimore (Justin Tucker's NFL record 66-yarder) and Week 5 at Minnesota (Greg Joseph's 54-yarder). The Lions' 10-game losing streak overall is the NFL's longest. Goff still has not won a game as a starting QB under a head coach other than the Rams' Sean McVay. Goff went 44-23 for McVay, 0-7 under Jeff Fisher (McVay's predecessor) and now 0-6 under Dan Campbell.

Campbell publicly called out Goff after last Sunday's 34-11 home loss to Cincinnati, perhaps insinuating a change could be coming if Goff doesn't play better. Hard to imagine Campbell would pull Goff in Los Angeles, though. Detroit has scored 17 points or fewer in five straight games. Every other team in the NFL has scored at least 18 points in one of their past two. Sunday is the first time the Lions are underdogs of at least 14 points since 2010 in Green Bay.

Stafford has the Rams at 5-1 and +850 fourth-favorites to win Super Bowl 56, which will be played in Los Angeles – Stafford never won a playoff game with Detroit but only had three tries. Stafford, who holds nearly every major career Lions passing record, has 16 touchdown passes this season, a career high through six games.

He has 298 career TD passes and with two Sunday would become the seventh-fastest to 300, doing so in 172 games. Aaron Rodgers holds the mark with 144. This will be the first time in Stafford's career that he is favored by at least 11 points.

William Hill has a prop on whether the Lions finish 0-17, with yes at +1000 and no -1800. Detroit is a -105 favorite to finish with the fewest wins in the league – the Jets, Dolphins, Texans, Jaguars and Giants all have one victory. 

Detroit is given an Over/Under of 2.5 wins, with the Under a -160 favorite. The Lions obviously aren't winning this week but could Week 8 vs. Philadelphia. In fact, on the "who will Lions beat first prop," the Eagles are +180 favorites, followed by the Bears at +500 (Week 12 in Detroit) and Steelers at +550 (Week 10 in Pittsburgh).

Stafford has at least two TD passes in every game but one with a high of four twice. Detroit has allowed 12, so 2.00 per game.

Via SportsLine oddsmakers Stafford vs. Lions: Which NFL total will be higher?

  • Matthew Stafford TD passes Sunday -160
  • Detroit Lions season victories +120

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Matt SeveranceSeverance Pays