The New York Giants come out of their bye week and will see a few injured players return – including most likely running back Saquon Barkley – but will be without wideout Sterling Shepard and one of their best defensive players in safety Logan Ryan on Monday night at Tampa Bay. The Bucs have ruled out receiver Antonio Brown, but Tom Brady should get his safety blanket, tight end Rob Gronkowski, back from injury. The Bucs are -11 at Caesars Sportsbook with a total of 50. Click here for model picks on game.
As of this writing, about 87 percent of money wagered at Caesars on the spread is on New York and approximately 60 percent of tickets sold. On the total, 81 percent of money is on the Under, but the Over is taking a 52 percent lean on tickets sold. It is supposed to rain early today in Tampa but not at night.
Shepard is out with a quad injury; he has a team-high 32 catchers for 324 yards and a touchdown. Ryan, a defensive co-captain, is on the reserve/COVID-19 list. He has 72 tackles, five passes defensed, two forced fumbles and a fumble recovery. Julian Love is expected to start in his place.
Barkley is officially questionable, but the former Offensive Rookie of the Year is likely to play for the first time since Oct. 10. Left tackle Andrew Thomas is technically on injured reserve but practiced this week and should be activated Monday.
The first NFL start for Giants quarterback Daniel Jones was in Tampa in Week 3 of the 2019 season and he was fantastic in passing for 336 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions for a 112.7 rating and adding two rushing touchdowns in a 32-31 win. The former Duke star became first rookie with at least 300 passing yards, two passing TDs and two rushing scores in a game since the league merger in 1970. That wasn't a prime-time game, though. Jones is 0-7 SU in his career in prime-time games, the first QB in the Super Bowl era to begin his career with seven straight prime-time losses.
The Bucs' Brown hasn't played since suffering an ankle injury in Week 6 against the Eagles. He was off to a great start with 29 catches for 418 yards and four scores. Coach Bruce Arians said Gronkowski, cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting and wide receiver Scotty Miller are among the players who will be game-time decisions. Gronk is expected to play. Murphy-Bunting, out since Week 1, and Miller are still on injured reserve but can be activated at any time. Stellar run-stopping defensive tackle Vita Vea is not expected to play.
Brady can make more history Monday if he throws for at least 130 yards and three scores. If so, it would mark the sixth time ever that a player has recorded 3,000 passing yards and 30 touchdown passes through his team's first 10 games of a season. Four of the past five times that happened, the player won NFL MVP. Caesars gives Brady Over/Under totals of 296.5 passing yards and 2.5 TDs.
Dating to Week 17 last season, Brady has passed for at least four touchdowns in five consecutive home games. He is the first player to ever record at least four TD passes in each of his first four home games of a season. Brady is trying to avoid his first three-game losing streak since 2002. He is 9-0 following consecutive losses since the start of the 2003 season.
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