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Eagles 2021 NFL schedule strength, odds, win projection: Philadelphia, under new starting quarterback Jalen Hurts, has easiest schedule next season

Good news for Eagles fans: Your team has the easiest strength of schedule in the 2021 NFL season by one metric.
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How much is NFL strength of schedule worth for a team when basing it completely off the combined winning percentage of its opponents from the previous season? There is some value, but it's not the be-all, end-all. Going by that metric, however, the Philadelphia Eagles have the easiest 2021 slate in terms of the known 16 opponents. There are no win totals out yet at William Hill Sportsbook, but the SportsLine Projection Model forecasts the Eagles to win 5.0 games next season after going a hugely disappointing 4-11-1 in 2020.

It's important to note the model is using just the known 16 opponents for the Eagles, but the NFL is planning to add a 17th game for every team, although it's not clear how the league will decide which teams get to host nine games and which teams are away for nine. Reportedly, the 17th game will feature an interconference crossover same division matchup between clubs that finished in the same spot.

So, the Eagles were fourth in the NFC East and thus would play the New York Jets, who finished fourth in the AFC East. The Jets and their 2-14 record would only make Philly's 2021 slate that much easier. Solely using the current 16 teams the Eagles face, their opponents were a combined 115-141-0 last season, a winning percentage of .449. It obviously helps Philly that not a single NFC East team finished with a winning record.

Philadelphia will open 2021 with a new starting quarterback in Jalen Hurts, who basically was handed that role Thursday when Carson Wentz was traded to Indianapolis, and a new coaching staff headed by head coach Nick Sirianni.

Hurts was 1-3 SU and 2-2 against the spread as the late-season replacement for Wentz. Hurts wasn't super-accurate in completing only 52 percent of his passes, but he definitely brought a running element with 354 yards and three TDs on 63 carries overall, a 5.6-yards-per-carry average.

Ironically, Sirianni is the former offensive coordinator of Wentz's new team. When the Eagles hired Sirianni to replace Doug Pederson, some in the NFL thought that was a good sign for Wentz NOT being traded. Philadelphia enters the offseason with one of the worst salary cap situations in the NFL -- Wentz will count nearly $34 million in dead cap space, a league record. 

Philadelphia Eagles trends/William Hill Sportsbook odds

Philadelphia Eagles Home Opponents

  • Dallas Cowboys: Philly has won and covered the past two at home in the series, winning 23-9 last year
  • New York Giants: While the Eagles have won seven straight at home in the series, they are 0-4 ATS in the past four
  • Washington Football Team: Eagles' three-game SU home winning streak ended in a 20-14 loss in 2020
  • New Orleans Saints: Saints were in Philadelphia last December and upset 24-21
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tom Brady's last-ever game in Philly? Bucs last visited in 2015
  • Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City has won and covered the past two, last in 2017 in KC
  • Los Angeles Chargers: Bolts are 1-3 ATS in the past four meetings, but covered most recent one in 2017
  • San Francisco 49ers: Eagles are 3-6 ATS in past nine home meetings but covered last one in 2017

Philadelphia Eagles Road Opponents

  • Dallas Cowboys: America's Team has won and covered the past three in Big D in series
  • New York Giants: Eagles were -4.5 on Nov. 15, 2020 in New Jersey and lost 27-17
  • Washington Football Team: Teams have split the past 10 in Maryland both SU & ATS
  • Atlanta Falcons: Philly last won and covered in Atlanta in 2009 (0-3 SU & ATS since)
  • Carolina Panthers: Five all-time meetings in Charlotte, and Eagles are 3-2 SU & ATS
  • Las Vegas Raiders: Eagles' first-ever trip to Vegas; they are 2-2 SU & ATS in past four "at" Raiders
  • Denver Broncos: Denver has won and covered past three at home, last a 52-20 rout in 2013
  • Detroit Lions: Detroit on three-game ATS winning streak at home in series (last in 2016)

Philadelphia Eagles TBA 17th Opponent

  • New York Jets: Philadelphia is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in past five as road team in series

The full NFL schedule should be released in mid-April. The Eagles will be looking to avoid back-to-back losing seasons for the first time since going 7-9 in 2015 & '16. That first season was the final one where Chip Kelly was head coach, and the 2016 campaign was Pederson's and Wentz's first year.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,400 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 9 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 83-48 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

Matt Severance
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