Entering Week 11, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is now the clear-cut +120 favorite at Caesars Sportsbook to win a second career NFL MVP Award, and he'll put two incredible streaks on the line in Sunday night's game at the Chargers. He has won 24 consecutive games in November and December and has never lost an AFC West road game. The Chiefs are 6-point favorites.
The last time Mahomes or the Chiefs lost a game in one of those months was in Week 10 of the 2019 campaign. Kansas City lost 35-32 at Tennessee on a field goal in the final seconds. The loss certainly wasn't Mahomes' fault. He threw for 446 yards and three scores. That November-December win streak is the longest in the NFL since the merger.
Mahomes is also 13-0 straight up in his career (9-4 against the spread) in road division games, the second-longest such win streak since the merger behind 20 in a row from Joe Montana from 1984-1993. That '93 season was Joe Cool's first in Kansas City. Mahomes has 30 passing touchdowns and just four picks in those 13 games with a rating of 105.4.
Finally, Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yards (2,936) and passing touchdowns (25) and is on pace for an NFL single-season record 5,545 passing yards. He also can become the fifth player ever with five straight games of at least 325 passing yards, joining Kurt Warner (twice), Drew Brees, Derek Carr and Rich Gannon. When the Chiefs rallied for a 27-24 home win over the Chargers on Thursday night in Week 2, Mahomes was held to 235 yards through the air.
More history could be made Sunday as Chiefs Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelce is one game shy of passing Rob Gronkowski for the most 100-yard receiving games by a tight end in NFL history. Both have 32. Kelce had 51 yards in the first meeting with the Bolts and has reached 100 three times this season.
LA quarterback Justin Herbert suffered a rib injury in that Week 2 loss and ranks just 25th in passer rating since, although his receiving corps has been gutted by injury. The Chargers have run just 23 plays with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams both on field over that span. There's a chance both return Sunday. Herbert has been held under 300 passing yards in five straight games, the longest streak of his pro career. He had 334 in the first meeting. Herbert is 5-0 against the spread in his career as at least a 5-point underdog.
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