The Lions will be without corners Terrion Arnold and D.J. Reed and safety Kerby Joseph, enhancing the matchup for disgruntled wideout A.J. Brown. Despite the negative publicity he has generated, Brown continues to destroy man coverage (second-most yards vs. man in the NFL). The Lions play man at the fourth-highest rate. Look for Brown to make at least one long catch Sunday night.

Head vs. heart play on Sunday night as everything says the Eagles should prevail, but the Lions have again proven they can step up and go score for score on the road this season. Still, Detroit is much better at home, and Philadelphia has come nowhere near putting together its best performance yet in 2025. The Eagles pass rush should knock Jared Goff off his spot all night, and without Sam LaPorta as a safety valve, that could be problematic. Philadelphia under Nick Siriani is 12-1 ATS when its line is between -3 and +3, 4-1 ATS this season when favored by -4.5 or less. The secondary will do well, but it will be incumbent on the Eagles to slow down the Lions’ run game.

We were expecting to see this as the NFC title game last January except the Commanders had different ideas in the Division Round at Detroit. Though there has been controversy lately in Philadelphia (mostly due to AJ Brown), the Birds have steadied since losing in October vs. the Broncos and Giants. Jalen Hurts continues to be brutally efficient (16 TDP and only 1 pick) and the Eagles have quite an edge when at the Linc, despite the loss to Denver last month. There is some bully about the Lions, who run up the big scores vs lesser opposition, but have their problems vs. the big boys. Jared Goff is going to see more pressure than usual tonight...let's see how he handles the situation. Play Eagles

Brown’s frustration with his lack of usage in the offense has been a weekly storyline in Philly. Eagles HC Nick Sirianni is getting tired of answering media questions about it. In very peculiar fashion, Brown and Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie spoke to each other publicly at a practice this week, and seemed to air out their grievances. Perhaps the air is cleared, and Brown can get back to being consistently productive. I like for Hurts to look his way in the red zone. This bet is purely speculative, but it’s a .5u shot I think is worth taking.

Winds are gusting heavily in Philadelphia, which could impact the deep passing game and kickers. I expect this to be an extremely physical game, in which these teams go to war in the trenches. The Lions are now without TE Sam Laporta. The Eagles defense got its pass rush back with the return of Nolan Smith & their acquisition of Jaelan Phillips. The Lions offensive line is banged up, so I expect them to go run-heavy against Philly. Public bets are heavily skewed to the Over, but this total is only moving down. Grabbing the Under at 47.

The Philadelphia Eagles we’ve seen the extreme red flags with the offense before just two seasons ago. Last week’s defensive win does not mask the ten points the offense put up, which is the fewest under Jalen Hurts in a game he started and finished. Now we are seeing the lowest home spread offering for the Eagles over the last couple of seasons. Take Detroit as the offense continues to find rhythm with Dan Campbell as play caller.

Detroit will be coming into Philly looking to pull off the upset. And their offense seems to be in perfect harmony juxtaposed to what we're seeing and hearing from the Philadelphia Eagles. However, this is still a very good team on both sides of the ball and one that plays its best ball when things look bleak.

The Eagles gutted out a tough win in Green Bay on Monday, but it was not an impressive showing by their offense, which managed eight or fewer yards in six of 10 offensive series. The defense was very much bend but don't break, with the Packers scoring once on six drives into Philly territory. This is a much tougher opponent, especially with Dan Campbell taking over playcalling duties on offense. The Lions also have a D-line capable of neutralizing Philly's strength up front and limiting scoring once again. I expect the Lions to win this game outright.