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There’s been momentum toward the Giants in this game, largely due to the 49ers completely falling on their face against the Texans. San Francisco may struggle to rush the passer Sunday, but it has a serious advantage when it comes to playmakers and scheme with Malik Nabers and Cam Skattebo out for the season. New York plays much better at home, but with nearly its entire starting secondary out, the likes of Kendrick Bourne, JaJuan Jennings and George Kittle should be able to get open enough for the Niners to cover the field goal.
Bit surprised we got a 3 with the Niners playing in the tricky 10 a.m. Pacific time window and still down Brock Purdy and Ricky Pearsall -- and also center Jake Brendel and defensive end Bryce Huff. They have lost their past two road games by double digits. The New York secondary is banged up but it's Mac Jones we are talking about. He has come way back to earth the past two games. And if Jones were to get hurt, Adrian Martinez would see his first-ever NFL snaps.
The once-potent 49ers are scoring 20 points per outing. Only one of their games in regulation has surpassed this total. The Giants' defense has been a sieve lately, but in a recent three-week stretch, their games generated 31, 39 and 40 points. Their offense has lost RB Cam Skattebo and WR Malik Nabers, whch puts a heavy burden on rookie QB Jaxson Dart. This total belongs in a game involving the Chiefs or Bills.

The Giants are down their exciting rookie running back due to injury, but Tracy has proven effective in the past. Last year beginning with his second start, he scored a TD in six of 10 games while the Giants averaged 12.6 points as a team. This group is better set up with Jaxson Dart at quarterback, averaged 24.2 points since he took over as starter. I like the matchup for the Giants offense and believe they'll have the opportunity for multiple TDs, and I like Tracy as their best option to score overall.
No Paulson Adebo this afternoon and Jevon Holland is questionable for New York. The 49ers leaning heavily on their passing game as they’ve struggle to establish the run. Even though New York is very weak in the secondary, their pass rush should be able to put Mac Jones in uncomfortable situations. Jaxson Dart is 2-0 SU at home, small sample size, but he has the ability to scramble and extend plays even without Cam Skattebo. The San Francisco defense hasn’t been the same without Nick Bosa and Fred Warner.

In the Giants two wins this season, Dart’s scrambling ability was a key factor. He rushed for 10+ carries and 50+ yards in each of those games, and is over this line in 3/5 games he has started this season. Following RB Cam Skattebo’s devastating injury, I expect Dart to take matters into his own hands. The 49ers defense is extremely beat up, and they were on the field for 75 plays last week against Houston. Dart should try to beat a tired and injured Niners defense with his legs.

DraftKings. Tatum Bethune has recorded at least 10 tackles in the three games he’s played since Fred Warner went down with an injury. Stepping in for the All-Pro, Bethune has dominated against the run (23 combined tackles over the last three games); he should feast against the Giants, who have the third highest neutral gamescript run rate since Jaxson Dart took over in Week 5 (per RotoViz). Overall, the Giants have allowed the fourth most linebacker tackles per game this season (per PFF data).

George Kittle found the endzone last Sunday against the Texans in a difficult matchup, and I expect him to find paydirt again this Sunday against the Giants. Kittle has scored two touchdowns in just three games this season. Since he returned two weeks ago, Kittle has been on the field 85% and 91% of the dropbacks. Ricky Pearsall is out again for the 49ers, so Kittle will need to be a redzone target for Mac Jones. I like the price of +130 for Kittle to score a touchdown again on Sunday.
The job Kyle Shanahan has done this season, should bump him to the forefront of the NFL Coach of the Year race. The Giants lost Cam Skattebo, and while the Niners looked bad in Week 8, I expect a major bounce back performance on Sunday.
49'ers were handled easily last week in Houston. I believe they bounce back here against a vastly inferior defense in NY. I made this game 3 and suggest laying the 2.5 before it gets to 3 as it looks like it is headed there. With so many injuries, SF leans heavily on McCaffrey & running game. NYG is dead last in the league in yards allowed per rushing attempt. This will open things up for the SF offense and make life easy for this unit. NYG is 27th in the league in Red Zone Def. and they commit just about more penalties than anyone. W/O Skattebo at running back, the 49'ers can make the NYG offense one dimensional. Niners win the game and cover.

Tyrone Tracy is a very capable running back and has plenty of experience as a solid starter dating back to last year. He should get the Cam Skattebo treatment from a volume standpoint and that means he won't need to be super efficient to eclipse this line (Tracy is projected to receive 13-14 carries). This game is expected to be a competitive one and with the 49ers defense being as injured as it is, I expect Tracy to be very involved and have a solid game.
The Giants offense lost Cam Skattebo last week, but I still believe Jaxson Dart will be able to lead the team to a nice total in this matchup. The 49ers defense collapsed last week with Bryce Huff joining Nick Bosa and Fred Warner on the sidelines, and he's not expected back this week. The 49ers have been the worst defense at generating pressure, and that led to a Texans offense missing Nico Collins doing whatever it wanted last week. Dart squeezed four scoring drives out of a bad offensive performance against the Eagles last week, and the Giants scored 30+ points the previous two weeks against the Broncos and Eagles. They have a shot at getting back to that level in this matchup as well.
Team Injuries




















