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Sun, Dec 159:25 pm UTCState Farm Stadium
Track OnCBS Sports
New England
Patriots
NE
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-13
ATS7-9
O/U11-6-0
FINAL SCORE
17
-
30
Arizona
Cardinals
ARI
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-9
ATS11-6
O/U8-7-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
4-13
Win /Loss
8-9
7-9
Spread
11-6
11-6-0
Over / Under
8-7-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NE @ ARI
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MONEYLINE
NE @ ARI
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OVER / UNDER
NE @ ARI
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33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
16%
PUBLIC
84%
MONEY
Over67%
PUBLIC
Under33%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Rushing YardsAntonio Gibson Over 17.5 Total Rushing Yards -113
WIN
Unit1.0
+67
9-7 in Last 16 NFL Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Antonio Gibson has cleared this line in 9/13 games this season, and is coming off two strong games, back-to-back (63 and 31 rush yards). He’s very much been a more efficient runner than Rhamondre Stevenson (4.7 yards per carry vs 3.7), but even with a back-up’s workload, this is a very attainable line. The Cardinals have allowed the 11th most running back rush yards per game, at 104.8. Gibson, who has regularly hit this line despite negative gamescripts, should be able to join the 9/13 Cardinals’ opposing back-up RBs to clear this line.

Pick Made: Dec 15, 3:47 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadArizona -5.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+996
50-36-2 in Last 88 NFL ATS Picks
+475
7-2 in Last 9 NE ATS Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Cardinals have lost three straight but two of the losses were to the Seahawks who they haven't beaten 4 years and the other was at Minnesota, a game that they were dominating and lost in the final minutes. The Patriots are just the type of team they need to face and get back on track with their season. Before the three game losing streak they won four straight and handled teams like the Jets, Bears, Chargers. and beat the Dolphins on the road. The Cardinals are better than this. And the Patriots are one of the worst offenses in the NFL, ranked 31st averaging 291 yards per game. Cardinals win this game and cover.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 2:09 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadNew England +6.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+835
22-13 in Last 35 NFL Picks
+227
7-5 in Last 12 NFL ATS Picks
+669
19-12 in Last 31 ARI ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Cardinals have lost three straight after surprisingly leading the division at midseason, and I wonder if this is a classic letdown spot with the playoffs likely out of reach following the loss to the Seahawks. Despite the recent skid, this is the most the Cardinals have been favored by since 2021, and they've lost two of their three games as favorites this year. The Patriots have lost by more than six just once since Week 7, and they should be healthier out of the bye with an improving rookie QB who may take a leap after the week off. I get the line based on rating, but this number is too high for me.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 2:43 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadArizona -5.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+1034.5
31-19-4 in Last 54 NFL Picks
+934.5
30-19-4 in Last 53 NFL ATS Picks
+340
4-1 in Last 5 NE ATS Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

One week after nearly upsetting the Vikings on the road, the Cardinals turned in one of their worst performances of the season, losing 30-18 to the Seahawks at home. The Patriots have dropped three straight and remain in the hunt for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. I expect a much better performance from Arizona, who is still alive in the NFC West race, in this spot. The Patriots have struggled on the road this season and they have a divisional showdown against the Bills looming next week. In the end, I like the Cardinals to win by a touchdown here.

Pick Made: Dec 10, 5:41 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderUnder 46.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+222
9-6 in Last 15 NFL O/U Picks
+95
2-1 in Last 3 NE O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Patriots road games are averaging just 36 points, the second lowest total in the NFL. They are under on average by 4.93 points (avg close: 41). Pats games outside the AFC East average 42.2 points and NE has scored 19 or less in 6 of 7 on road (3 of 4 games vs NFC are 43 points or less). Cards D is legit, Kyler Murray is in his typical late-season funk and AZ is 5-3-1 to the under outside the division. No explosion in the NE offense. Cards lacking explosion in the run game these days.

Pick Made: Dec 10, 1:55 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

New England Patriots
Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Avatar
TE
Hunter Henry
Foot
Avatar
CB
Christian Gonzalez
Concussion
Sunday, Jan 05, 2025
Avatar
FS
Marte Mapu
Neck
Avatar
WR
Kayshon Boutte
Head
Arizona Cardinals
Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Avatar
LB
Victor Dimukeje
Eye
Avatar
WR
Michael Wilson
Hamstring
Sunday, Jan 05, 2025
Avatar
CB
Max Melton
Wrist
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