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    Sun, Dec 016:00 pm UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Los Angeles
    Chargers
    LAC
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L8-4
    ATS8-3
    O/U4-8-0
    FINAL SCORE
    17
    -
    13
    Atlanta
    Falcons
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-6
    ATS5-7
    O/U4-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    8-4
    Win /Loss
    6-6
    8-3
    Spread
    5-7
    4-8-0
    Over / Under
    4-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    S
    Avatar
    MLB
    Avatar
    OLB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    DE
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    LAC @ ATL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    LAC @ ATL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    LAC @ ATL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    60%
    PUBLIC
    40%
    MONEY
    58%
    PUBLIC
    42%
    MONEY
    Over71%
    PUBLIC
    Under29%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Money LineL.A. Chargers -111
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1482
    52-34-3 in Last 89 NFL Picks
    +98
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ML Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    There are three major reasons not to pick the Chargers: a substantial rest disadvantage (Falcons bye), the injury to J.K. Dobbins and the existence of Bijan Robinson, who should run effectively just as Derrick Henry did last week. However, the Falcons have folded against every talented defense they have faced (except for the Eagles, which themselves were lost in Week 2). Atlanta also generates zero pass rush, which should allow Justin Herbert to pick apart its defense at will. Los Angeles is strong on that side of the ball, and Jim Harbaugh does not generally lose consecutive regular-season games. I’m happy to take the Falcons in teaser legs but want LA to win straight up, especially with the special teams edge brought by Cameron Dicker.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:16 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Money LineAtlanta +107
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +90
    4-3 in Last 7 NFL Picks
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ML Picks
    +100
    2-1 in Last 3 ATL ML Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    This is a tough spot for Los Angeles. The Chargers played on Monday Night Football, and now head cross-country on a short week to face the Falcons. Atlanta is well-rested and healthy coming off their bye week, while the Chargers are down several key players (RB J.K. Dobbins, LB Denzel Perryman, CBs Cam Hart & Eli Apple). LA’s run-first offense may struggle without their lead back. We can also ride a trend that is one of the great mysteries of the world: “1pm Kirk.” In games played at 1pm or earlier, Cousins is 61-35-1 SU. 4pm or later? 22-40 SU. Maybe a witch put a curse on him, so I’ll back Cousins and the Falcons in the early window before he turns into a frog.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:36 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Over / UnderUnder 47.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 NFL Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL O/U Picks
    +237
    8-5 in Last 13 LAC O/U Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Chargers are 10-3 to the under on the road since the start of last season, with games averaging 39.15 points. They are 4-1 to the under on road this season, averaging 33.4 points. Kirk Cousins failed to throw a TD pass for 2 straight weeks heading into a bye. He is 15-10 to the under as a home dog and his last 4 games in that situation have gone under by: 7.5, 5, 5.5 and 6 points. Chargers will take away all explosive plays on defense. Chargers injuries on offense will be a problem scoring TDs. Falcons are under in 4 of 6 home games this season. Falcons have failed to score more than 18 points in 3 games vs AFC this season.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:04 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerGus Edwards Anytime Touchdown Scorer +140
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +802.5
    35-14 in Last 49 NFL Player Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Gus Edwards has just one rushing TD on the season but it came Monday night after JK Dobbins left injured and Dobbins is out today and likely for a while. So if the Bolts are at the goal line, Edwards in theory should get the ball first if healthy. This price seems quite generous.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:02 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadAtlanta +1.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1781
    82-43-1 in Last 126 NFL Picks
    +215
    7-5 in Last 12 NFL ATS Picks
    +107.5
    5-4-1 in Last 10 ATL ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Like the Chargers roster better but short week of a tough home loss to Super Bowl contender Baltimore on Monday night and then you obviously add in the cross-country travel and 10 a.m. Pacific kick time AND Atlanta is off its bye week and healthy now. So if rest and health mean anything in this league ....

    Pick Made: Sun 3:52 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Longest RushBijan Robinson Over 15.5 Longest Rush -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1317.5
    78-54 in Last 132 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Chargers linebacker Denzel Perryman, who is second on the team in run stops, remains out with a groin injury. LA plays a lot of light boxes, ranks 30th in explosive run rate allowed and just got demolished by Derrick Henry. Look for Bijan Robinson to break at least one run of 16-plus yards for the sixth time in the past eight games.

    Pick Made: Sun 12:33 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadAtlanta +1.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1332
    45-29-5 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +471
    20-14-2 in Last 36 NFL ATS Picks
    +247
    7-4 in Last 11 LAC ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    What do Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young, rookie Bo Nix (before he began to heat up), Spencer Rattler, Jameis Winston, and Will Levis have in common? They're the QBs the Bolts beat in their first six wins. (Joe Burrow was the 7th, but the Bengals really beat themselves that Sunday night two weeks ago.) Atlanta's Kirk Cousins certainly rates a few levels above most of those QBs above, and when stepping up vs. the Steelers, Chiefs, Cards, and Ravens, Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense have only scored 14.5 pg in their losses. Overrated? Maybe! Last week's bye came at a good time for the Falcs, who had lost two straight prior, but the return to Mercedes Benz should prove a plus. Play Falcons

    Pick Made: Dec 01, 8:11 am UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJustin Herbert Over 22.5 Total Rushing Yards -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +174
    7-5 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
    Megan's Analysis:

    Since Week 8, Justin Herbert has not been afraid to take off and run. Herbert is a great athlete, so it's been fun to see him use his legs successfully more recently. Herbert has rushed for 29 or more rushing yards in four of the last five games. The Falcons give up the 6th most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season. So I like Herbert to continue to run and surpass this low line of 22.5 rushing yards.

    Pick Made: Dec 01, 5:43 am UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJustin Herbert Over 20.5 Total Rushing Yards -116
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1317.5
    78-54 in Last 132 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Justin Herbert has run for at least 29 yards in three straight games, and I love him to make it four in a row at Atlanta. The Falcons rank dead last in QB rushing yards allowed over expectation, and LA won't have J.K. Dobbins. Although Herbert isn't likely to be pressured much -- Atlanta ranks 31st in pressure rate -- he could take off a few times when his receivers are covered.

    Pick Made: Dec 01, 1:51 am UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Total Passing CompletionsJustin Herbert Over 20.5 Total Passing Completions -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +278.5
    27-21 in Last 48 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    The Falcons reliably play heavy zone coverage and are awful at pressuring the quarterback. Case in point: They've accumulated 10 sacks, fewest in the NFL. Herbert should be able to pick them apart, especially without a proven run game to work off of with JK Dobbins sidelined. I bet at least five completions are screens or real short horizontal passes used as extended runs to make up for the lack of a run game. Plus there's always a chance the game becomes a shootout, in which case Herbert will go over this mark easily.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:46 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsBijan Robinson Over 72.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1415
    29-13 in Last 42 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    We like to think that the Chargers defense is super formidable, but it could be a bit of smoke and mirrors, particularly versus the run. From a Yards Per Carry standpoint, the Chargers are well below average and they'll meet a very solid running game in Atlanta behind Bijan Robinson. Bijan was stymied versus Denver (before Atlanta's bye) mostly due to game script, but he had 19+ carries in each of the previous two games and rushed for 86 and 116 yards. I expect him to get at least 15-16 carries (maybe as many as 19 again) and that should be plenty to get over this line.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:38 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Passing TouchdownsJustin Herbert Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1415
    29-13 in Last 42 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    I made this same bet last week against the Ravens and it missed, but I'm happy to go right back to it against a Falcons team that doesn't create pressure and is pretty poor against the pass. I think the Chargers will rely even more on Justin Herbert without JK Dobbins and I think both teams move the ball relatively easily on offense. Prior to last week, Herbert had hit two touchdowns in 3 of 4 games. I expect Herbert and this wide receiver group to bounce back.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 2:43 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsLadd McConkey Over 5.5 Total Receptions +108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The rookie has become Justin Herbert's go-to guy, and with JK Dobbins hurt now, I expect him to be even more of a factor in the screen game and on third down. Big target with a knack for getting open and finding holes in zone. He has 5 more catches than any Charger over the last 5 games and most targeted as well. I like the potential payout here and he has 6 catches in 3 of the last 5 games and 5 in one other. Atlanta gets no pass rush and is allowing a QB rating of 113 and over 70% completions in its last 5 games.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 7:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Over / UnderOver 47.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +302
    13-10 in Last 23 NFL O/U Picks
    +290
    15-12-2 in Last 29 ATL O/U Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Chargers have the No. 1 scoring defense in football at 15.9 points per game allowed, but it's been exposed the last two weeks by the Bengals and Ravens. The Falcons have a good enough offense to put up points on this unit, and I don't trust their defense to stop any competent quarterback with its lack of pass rush. Last week's Ravens game was the first time in five weeks the Chargers didn't score at least 26, so they should do their part to get this one over, while I'd also look at alt Overs of 26.5 and 27.5 on L.A.'s team total.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 1:47 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Over / UnderUnder 48.5 -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +987
    44-31-2 in Last 77 NFL Picks
    +65
    4-3 in Last 7 NFL O/U Picks
    +715
    16-8 in Last 24 LAC O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The Chargers' two recent points-filled games -- 61 and 53 -- are misleading. The opponents, Cincinnati and Baltimore, wield high-powered offenses. L.A.'s first eight outings all landed in the 20s and 30s, and they will miss injured RB J.K. Dobbins, who accounts for 60 percent of the team's ground yards and has eight TDs. Atlanta's offense started the season ablaze but has burned out, with 23 points produced in the past two games. The concern is that run-minded coach Jim Harbaugh might take to the air without Dobbins, but that would go against type.

    Pick Made: Nov 27, 5:41 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadAtlanta +2.5 -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1414.5
    110-81 in Last 191 NFL Picks
    +190
    12-9 in Last 21 NFL ATS Picks
    +1482
    34-17-4 in Last 55 LAC ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Chargers had faced the easiest schedule of opposing rushing attacks until hosting the Ravens on Monday Night Football. Baltimore rushed for 212 yards (5.7 ypc) in the 30-23 win. Now, traveling on a short week, LA must deal with Bijan Robinson (4.7 ypc) and Tyler Allgeier (5.0 ypc). The Chargers missed LB Denzel Perryman (groin) vs. Baltimore and his status remains unclear. They definitely won't have running back J.K. Dobbins (knee). Look for a tight game in Atlanta and grab the points.

    Pick Made: Nov 27, 4:19 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Total Passing TouchdownsJustin Herbert Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Chargers offense slumped in the second half Monday after losing feature back JK Dobbins. It will put even more pressure on Herbert to deliver passing scores. He has been performing at an elite level since October, and the Falcons generate no pressure and have allowed 13 passing TDs in their last 5 games (tied for most in NFL) and a passer rating of 110,3 (29th).

    Pick Made: Nov 27, 3:49 am UTC on FanDuel

    Team Injuries

    Los Angeles Chargers
    Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
    Avatar
    S
    Tony Jefferson
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    OLB
    Bud Dupree
    HeelQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Elijah Molden
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Daiyan Henley
    KneeQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    MLB
    Denzel Perryman
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Cam Hart
    AnkleQuestionable
    Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Ladd McConkey
    KneeQuestionable
    Atlanta Falcons
    Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Troy Andersen
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Nate Landman
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Zach Harrison
    AchillesQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Jase McClellan
    KneeQuestionable
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