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    Sun, Dec 016:00 pm UTCGillette Stadium
    30 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Indianapolis
    Colts
    IND
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-7
    ATS8-5
    O/U6-7-0
    FINAL SCORE
    25
    -
    24
    New England
    Patriots
    NE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L3-10
    ATS5-7
    O/U8-5-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    6-7
    Win /Loss
    3-10
    8-5
    Spread
    5-7
    6-7-0
    Over / Under
    8-5-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    WR
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    DT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    IND @ NE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    IND @ NE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    IND @ NE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    66%
    PUBLIC
    34%
    MONEY
    74%
    PUBLIC
    26%
    MONEY
    Over66%
    PUBLIC
    Under34%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsMichael Pittman Over 50.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1642
    39-23 in Last 62 NFL Player Props Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Michael Pittman went for 6 catches & 96 receiving yards last week against the Lions, and is likely to be featured again this week with Josh Downs sidelined. Colts QB Anthony Richardson threw for an ugly 11/28 last week, with more than half of his completions going to Pittman. The Patriots were chewed up by Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle last week for 8/144/1TD, whose play style profiles similarly to Pittman. Richardson will have few other targets to look for.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadIndianapolis -2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1482
    52-34-3 in Last 89 NFL Picks
    +1382
    51-34-3 in Last 88 NFL ATS Picks
    +1077
    24-12-2 in Last 38 NE ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The Colts have been an iffy proposition this season no matter who starts at QB, and Anthony Richardson took a step backwards last week without Josh Downs, who will again be missing here. The Patriots are not the Lions, though, and while Drake Maye impresses in spurts, he doesn’t put it together for 60 minutes. AR and Jonathan Taylor should be able to get what they want on the ground, which will open up the passing game a bit. The real reason for this pick, though, is the Indianapolis defense, which is simply superior to what New England offers. With advantages in the areas that control the clock, let’s back AR and the Colts as rare road favorites.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:14 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadIndianapolis -2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1675
    40-21-3 in Last 64 NFL ATS Picks
    +298
    25-20-1 in Last 46 NE ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Rookie Drake Maye is an upgrade at QB for New England, but the team is nonetheless 2-5 straight-up with him starting. The Pats still rank dead-last in yards per game. Though Indy has gotten pounded by superior opponents, it has beaten four out of five foes with sub-.500 records. Let's compare ATS marks: the Colts are 8-4, the Pats 4-7-1. A 2.5-point spread against a weak foe can be a temptress, but any spot less than a field goal with the Pats involved is irresistible.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:57 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadIndianapolis -2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1521
    35-18 in Last 53 NFL Picks
    +1421
    34-18 in Last 52 NFL ATS Picks
    +1234
    19-6 in Last 25 NE ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    Interestingly enough, the Colts have a chance to run the table the rest of the way. Their last 'tough' game was last week vs Detroit. With the potential of the postseason within their grasp, look for their run game and physical defense to travel well with them to New England.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:17 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadIndianapolis -2.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1286
    34-19 in Last 53 NFL ATS Picks
    +275
    5-2 in Last 7 NE ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Colts have lost four of the last five but it's who they lost to that matters as much as the losses. They lost to a who's who of NFL teams that are high-level playoff teams like the Lions, the Bills, the Vikings, and the Texans. It’s a legitimate excuse for the Colts. With the bad teams they played, they've done extremely well and covered. They're 5-7 on the season but 8-4 against the spread. The Patriots have the worst offense in the NFL at only 280 yards per game and are -7 in turnover margin. Colts take care of business against a lesser team. Colts cover.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 10:56 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total CarriesRhamondre Stevenson Over 13.5 Total Carries -130
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +278.5
    27-21 in Last 48 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    In the five games Stevenson has 20 or more carries in this year, the Patriots have either won or lost by one score. In the six games he has 13 or fewer carries, the Patriots lost every time including two blowouts. I do think they can hang with the Colts, giving Stevenson the gamescript to have a lot of rushes. It especially helps that nine different running backs have 14 or more rush attempts against the Colts this year, including one in each of their past seven games.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:54 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total CarriesAnthony Richardson Over 9.5 Total Carries -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    He's hit double digit in carries in 3 of the last 4 games and this is a must-win game on the road for a desperate Colts team. If they are going to hang around the playoffs, they need to win, and the most explosive thing about their team is this kid running the ball. Patriots are not special against the run and Jonathan Taylor has been mundane lately and short yardage and option ball and scrambles and maybe a kneel down or two as well get us to 12 or more, I project. He has 40 rushes over the past 4 weeks.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 8:01 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Made Field GoalsMatt Gay Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -133
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +277
    14-10 in Last 24 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    For nine straight weeks, Matt Gay has made two or more field goals. Why would we stray from the trend this week? Meanwhile, New England has given up multiple field goal attempts in 8 of 12 games this season. Until it misses, I'll continue to ride this pick each week.

    Pick Made: Nov 27, 9:07 pm UTC on BetMGM
    1st Half Spread1st Half Indianapolis -1.5 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +102
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Game Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Pats are horrible covering at home (2-10-2 since the start of '23) and the Colts excel on road (9-5 ATS in that span). But I'm going to cut the game in half. NE can't start games quickly. They have trailed by 3 points or more at the half in 8 of their last 9 home games; their -57 first half PD at home since start of last season is 31st in the NFL. Colts have led at the half by 6+ in their last two road games with Anthony Richardson back at QB. Colts have a very solid defense and have faced a tough gauntlet of teams. I like them to carry a lead to the half.

    Pick Made: Nov 27, 4:19 am UTC on Sugar House
    Point SpreadNew England +3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +793
    26-16-1 in Last 43 NFL ATS Picks
    +1013
    49-35-2 in Last 86 IND ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Patriots were embarrassed by the Dolphins on Sunday, falling behind 31-0, but that Miami team is in a much better spot than this Indy team. Anthony Richardson turned back into a pumpkin after one good week, and the offense sustained several WR injuries, with key weapon Josh Downs looking unlikely for this game. The Colts have been managing OL injuries as well and now Richardson might be taking snaps from a third-string center. With New England relatively healthy and hosting a struggling indoor team in cold conditions, they shouldn't be catching the full 3 anywhere.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 2:20 pm UTC on DraftKings

    Team Injuries

    Indianapolis Colts
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Braden Smith
    PersonalQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Ashton Dulin
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Josh Downs
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Tanor Bortolini
    ConcussionQuestionable
    New England Patriots
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    DT
    Jaquelin Roy
    NeckQuestionable
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