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    Sun, Sep 295:00 pm UTCNRG Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Jacksonville
    Jaguars
    JAC
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L1-4
    ATS2-3
    O/U2-3-0
    FINAL SCORE
    20
    -
    24
    Houston
    Texans
    HOU
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-1
    ATS1-4
    O/U1-4-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    1-4
    Win /Loss
    4-1
    2-3
    Spread
    1-4
    2-3-0
    Over / Under
    1-4-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    FS
    Avatar
    TE
    Avatar
    SAF
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SAF
    Avatar
    RB
    Avatar
    DE
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    JAC @ HOU
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    JAC @ HOU
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    JAC @ HOU
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    40%
    PUBLIC
    60%
    MONEY
    9%
    PUBLIC
    91%
    MONEY
    Over88%
    PUBLIC
    Under12%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadHouston -5.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +575
    8-2-1 in Last 11 NFL ATS Picks
    +427
    20-14-3 in Last 37 HOU ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    This line has fallen below a full touchdown, and it’s probably from sharp action thinking the Jaguars will be poised for a bounce-back effort. Why, exactly? Jacksonville looks to be among the worst teams in the league, Trevor Lawrence has lost eight straight starts, and Houston is similarly positioned to rebound after getting whooped last week by Minnesota (so there’s no motivational edge). The Texans and their weapons have every opportunity to tear apart a defense that gave up 47 points last week and now hits the road on a short week. Houston has undoubtedly performed below expectations, but it should put everything together here for a cover even if the spread is inflated by about 1-1.5 points.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 4:01 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadJacksonville +5.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +778
    17-8 in Last 25 NFL Picks
    +208
    9-6 in Last 15 NFL ATS Picks
    +745
    8-1 in Last 9 JAC ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The Texans are 2-1, but were blown out last week and squeezed by marginal opponents in their two wins. The Jaguars are coming off a disastrous performance Monday night in Buffalo and the last time they truly resembled a solid club was in last year's victory at Houston. Look for at least a respectable showing that nets an ATS victory.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 3:21 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadJacksonville +6 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +595
    7-1-1 in Last 9 NFL Picks
    +395
    5-1-1 in Last 7 NFL ATS Picks
    +190
    4-2 in Last 6 HOU ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    The Jacksonville Jaguars have the daunting task of traveling on the road once again after Monday’s blowout loss to Buffalo. The good news is they will be playing a divisional rival in the Houston Texans. It’s actually the last win Trevor Lawrence had under center back in November of 2023. Look for the offense to perform better without a ballooned deficit to work out of. Take the points with the Jaguars.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 4:21 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsNico Collins Over 5.5 Total Receptions -138
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +807
    11-3 in Last 14 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    There was concern over Nico Collins' hamstring, but he practiced fully Friday and is good to go. This is a dream matchup. Jacksonville plays more man coverage than any team, and Collins destroys man coverage. It also helps that Tank Dell is out. Look for Collins to make at least six catches Sunday.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 4:16 am UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsNico Collins Over 77.5 Total Receiving Yards -128
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +777
    13-6 in Last 19 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Nico Collins posted a truly stellar season last year and not only has proven that lasts year season was no fluke, he’s been even better this season and is truly one of the games elite pass catchers. Now he gets to face a Jags defense that possesses one of the leagues most ineffective pass rushes coupled with a defense that double teams opposing WRs at one of the lowest rates in the league. The Jags lead the NFL with a 61% man coverage rate. Nico will have even less target competition as Tank Dell is going to miss this game. Collins could go completely nuclear in this matchup if the Jags are able to push Houston whatsoever.

    Pick Made: Sep 27, 7:54 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsC.J. Stroud Over 266.5 Total Passing Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +971.5
    29-18 in Last 47 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Stroud comes in off his worst game, but he is back at home where his splits are massive (over 300 yards/game) and facing a defense he owns (292 yds/g) and one that is lack9ng major pieces in coverage at LB and in secondary. Texans can't run the ball and Bobby Slowik has been too conservative lately but I expect more deep shots in this game and a return to play action explosives. Jags can't generate enough pressure though HOU OL does give me pause. The picks last week cost him yardage but that is a rarity for him. Can attack the failing and tired Jags D in a short week coming out throwing like the Bills did Monday night.

    Pick Made: Sep 25, 3:47 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadHouston -6.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +875
    11-2 in Last 13 NFL Picks
    +75
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
    +819
    39-28-4 in Last 71 HOU ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Playing in Minnesota is difficult. Laremy Tunsil got penalized so many times, the Texans' offense couldn't gain any traction. It will be much different at home versus Jacksonville. Although the Jaguars should respond following an embarrassing Monday night loss in Buffalo, I like how Houston's trio of receivers matches up with Jacksonville's leaky secondary. The Jags play a ton of man coverage; C.J. Stroud is going to burn it.

    Pick Made: Sep 24, 10:08 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadHouston -6 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +400
    20-14-1 in Last 35 NFL Picks
    +165
    4-2-1 in Last 7 NFL ATS Picks
    +761
    27-19-4 in Last 50 HOU ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    Both teams just got embarrassed in Week 3, but I consider those losses on different levels. The Texans lost in a tough road environment to a Vikings defense that might be elite. I don't think there's anything fundamentally wrong they need to adjust. The Jaguars' loss to the Bills was a failure on every level: bad coaching, bad execution and an inability to adjust when things weren't working. The Bills scored TDs on all five first-half drives, while the Jags put up just 3.5 yards per play despite getting 30 minutes of garbage time. I thought they were unlucky to be 0-2 heading into the game, but maybe this is just a bad team that's going to get destroyed by good teams like Houston.

    Pick Made: Sep 24, 4:51 pm UTC on DraftKings

    Team Injuries

    Jacksonville Jaguars
    Monday, Oct 07, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Evan Engram
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Daniel Thomas
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Devin Duvernay
    Lower BodyQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Travis Etienne
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Yasir Abdullah
    NeckQuestionable
    Wednesday, Jul 03, 2024
    Avatar
    FS
    Tashaun Gipson
    SuspensionSuspended
    Houston Texans
    Monday, Oct 07, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Joe Mixon
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Derek Barnett
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Tytus Howard
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jake Hansen
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Dameon Pierce
    HamstringQuestionable
    Sunday, Oct 06, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Jimmie Ward
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Nico Collins
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    British Brooks
    KneeQuestionable
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