I expect the Jets to get off to a fast start and ride their rushing attack to a comfortable first half lead. Denver will feel the loss of Alex Singleton in this matchup.

Hall's season-high in rushing yards this season is 62, but this is the spot I think he busts out. Denver lost its defensive leader and best tackler (Alex Singleton) for the season, and with rain in the mix I expect Hall to get plenty of work. He has to compete for touches with rookie Braelon Allen, but this is a game where I can see Hall going over 75 yards on the ground.

It's rainy, cold, and foggy in New York, and neither team here has been explosive on offense. The Broncos took a huge hit when LB Alex Singleton was lost for the season, but they are still playing inspired football on that side of the ball. The Jets have been methodical on offense this season, and I expect a heavy dose of Breece Hall on Sunday. I like the under here.

The Jets have the slowest pace pf play in the league and the Broncos have a limited offense. Scoring should be minimal and the Under is a solid position.

More than 90% of the public betting tickets are the on the Over, yet this total has only dropped from it's opening total of 42.5. I would play this all the way down to Under 35.5, because I think Broncos rookie QB Bo Nix will struggle in this matchup. Denver is now without key offensive lineman Mike McGlinchey. The Jets pass rush came alive last week, racking up seven total team sacks. Nix will have his hands full trying to escape pressure and navigate this elite New York secondary. Denver boasts a damn good secondary of their own behind lockdown CB Patrick Surtain. He should be able to contain Jets WR Garrett Wilson. I don't see this one breaking into the 40's.

Denver has a history of dealing with big spreads against the Jets; how about the biggest upset win in modern pro football history back in 1968, when Lou Saban's Broncos, a 22-point dog, picked off Joe Namath five times en route to a 21-13 upset as a 22-point underdog. Denver had won as a 19-point dog in the Shea Stadium mud the previous year, so dealing with big spreads in Queens is nothing new for the Broncos. Denver is suddenly looking looking like it is responding to young QB Bo Nix, executing just what Sean Payton wanted last week. Meanwhile, need see a bit more that the Aaron Rodgers Jets can handle teams besides the Titans and Patriots. Play Broncos

We know Wilson is playing Denver, and that means that top shutdown CB Pat Surtain is going to cover him a lot. Number-one WRs against the Broncos this year have gone for 17 yards (Mike Evans), 29 yards (George Pickens) and 29 yards (DK Metcalf). That should be enough to convince you, but if you watched the Jets' game last week you saw multiple throws from Aaron Rodgers where he and Wilson just weren't on the same page. This is something that reporters noticed in training camp, and it's still happening. And, Wilson's seen minimal deep targets, just five with two grabs, and one for under 22 yards. The longest play Surtain has allowed this year? 16 yards.

Garrett Wilson has been quiet to open the season and it’s fair to suggest disappointing considering the offseason expectations, now that Wilson is playing with a viable QB. That being said, there is still plenty to be encouraged by and I feel strongly the best is yet to come for the QB/WR duo. Rodgers and company will face a Broncos defense that ranks 1st in blitz rate and 2nd in quick pressure rate. Rodgers has been able to get the ball out quickly and when he does, he’s really honing in on Wilson. On quick throws, Wilson is seeing a very healthy 33% Targets Per Route Run. Wilson target profile checks all the boxes and on top of that we’re getting a sizable discount.

To date, Denver is allowing only 133.3 net passing yards per game, second fewest in the league. Rodgers has mostly been confined to a game manager role where his running game does most of the work. I expect this to be the case on Sunday are the Breece Hall-Braelon Allen combination will be hard for the Broncos to stop. I have a hard time seeing Rodgers break the 200 yard passing mark in a game which should be dictated by defense.

The last of the 7s might disappear soon with the news that Denver leading tackler Alex Singleton is done for the year with a torn ACL. The Broncos also have the challenge of practicing this week in West Virginia rather than flying all the way home after Sunday's upset win in Tampa. The Jets are on extra rest after dominating the Patriots on Thursday in Week 3. I do think Aaron Rodgers and the Jets want to pound Denver after Sean Payton's criticism last year of Jets OC and A-Rod buddy Nathaniel Hackett from Hackett's terrible head coaching tenure in Denver in 2022. The Jets quieted Payton with a 31-21 home win in Week 5 last year, but Rodgers wasn't around for that.

This is 7 but will go to 7.5. Denver was less impressive last week than the score suggests. Rookie WB v Jets on road….take the fav

The Broncos are coming off a breakout game from Bo Nix and sport one of the better defenses in the league with 4.5 yards allowed per play. But this is a massive upgrade in opponent with Aaron Rodgers playing well and a much better and healthier defense than what Nix saw in Tampa. In a second straight road game coming off a win, the Broncos offense shouldn't get much in this matchup, while the Jets offense is eighth in points scored per drive despite opening the year with three pretty tough matchups. With the extra rest, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Jets post a similar result to what they did last Thursday.