Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
It seems like the hook may return with Saquon Barkley being cleared, but given he was a true game-time decision with a neck injury, it's hard to count on him playing the duration of this game. Beyond that, though, I struggle to see how the Giants are going to cover A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith on the boundaries. If they pressure Jalen Hurts and play man outside, they will get burnt. If they leave open rushing lanes, they will get torn through. Philadelphia has proven to be a far better team at home than on the road; however, against teams with top-10 offenses it has faced this season, New York is 0-4 with each loss by 7+ points. The Eagles have the No. 3 total offense and No. 2 scoring offense in the NFL. [Bonus: Also fond of Philly in a two-team, 6-point Wong teaser with Kansas City.]
There's value on this key number with the hook on a Giants club that is still fighting for playoff positioning in the NFC. New York has covered five of the past seven meetings and is 5-1 ATS in its past six against winning teams. Take the points.
The Eagles are in a tough road spot in a divisional matchup against a well-coached Giants team, but I think the talent mismatch is big enough that Philadelphia can get the cover. The Giants are down two interior linemen and facing an elite Eagles D-line, and the Eagles defense overall is No. 1 in yards per play and No. 2 in sack rate. With Saquon Barkley also managing an injury, it'll be tough for New York to score many points. And the Eagles should be able to run it all over a bad Giants rush defense likely missing Leonard Williams and pick their spots in the passing game. The Giants have three losses of 8+ points in their last five games, and I feel like another is coming here.