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Sun 12/11 | 9:05 PM UTC | Denver
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas City Chiefs 16-3, 8-11 ATS
KC -9-110
KC -455
Over 44-110
Denver Broncos 4-12, 7-9 ATS
DEN +9-110
DEN +345
Under 44-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Kansas City 34 @ Denver 28 | 12/11 | 9:05 PM UTC

Kansas City -9

LOSS

ANALYSIS: This is undoubtedly a lot of points the Chiefs are giving against a statistically strong defense, but if you dig deeper into the Broncos, you'll notice they have beaten up on mediocre-to-poor offenses for most of the season. That is not how one would describe Kansas City, especially with most of its offensive playmakers healthy. KC has been terrible ATS this year, but what it has consistently done well under Andy Reid is bounce back from losses. This would mark the Chiefs' third-largest cover of the season, but this is the perfect opponent against which KC can get right. As R.J. said below, this is all about how many points the Chiefs can score, and I like them to be able to post four touchdowns against most opponents they face. Especially when they get bonus possessions by facing anemic offenses like this one.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+700 17-9-1 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS

Season Splits

16-3, 8-11 ATS
4-12, 7-9 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
42%
5-7
4-8
33%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
3-3
1-4
20%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
40%
4-6
4-3
57%
When Spread was -10.5 to -7.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +7.5 to +10.5
100%
1-0
1-0
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
40%
2-3
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
50%
2-2
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
50%
3-3
0-3
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
44%
4-5
3-6
33%
vs DEN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
0%
0-0
0-0
0%