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Thu 11/24 | 5:30 PM UTC | Detroit
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Buffalo Bills 7-3, 5-5 ATS
BUF -9.5-110
BUF -430
Over 54.5-110
Detroit Lions 4-6, 6-4 ATS
DET +9.5-110
DET +328
Under 54.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Buffalo 28 @ Detroit 25 | 11/24 | 5:30 PM UTC

Detroit +9.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: As a former Michigander, I have been to a couple of Lions games on Thanksgiving. Usually the best crowd of the year. My point being is while sometimes home-field advantage is overrated, I think it matters today. Detroit is playing easily the best it has under Dan Campbell led by unlikely NFL rushing TD leader Jamaal Williams. I frankly wouldn't be shocked if the Lions win this game outright. Not predicting that but will take the points.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+773 35-20-3 IN LAST 58 NFL PICKS
+270 5-2 IN LAST 7 BUF ATS PICKS
+672 9-2-1 IN LAST 12 DET ATS PICKS

Season Splits

7-3, 5-5 ATS
4-6, 6-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
5-5
6-4
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
3-3
3-2
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
5-5
6-3
67%
When Spread was -11 to -8
SPREAD
When Spread was +8 to +11
33%
1-2
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
3-3
3-1
75%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
0%
0-1
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
50%
1-1
2-1
67%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
43%
3-4
5-3
62%
vs DET
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BUF
0%
0-0
0-0
0%