ANALYSIS: The Bills have hit their stride over the last five weeks, but they've surged against terrible teams and a Patriots squad that had no business being in the playoffs. The Chiefs, meanwhile have been a completely different team since finding answers on defense. Kansas City is on streaks of 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS, achieving both by toppling a number of top teams. This is going to be a hotly contested game that could go either way, but the Chiefs defense and home-field advantage -- plus edges on special teams in the kicking game, on the sideline with Andy Reid and on the field Patrick Mahomes -- have me backing KC. While I'm not fretting about the half-point given I have the Chiefs as -3.5 at home, it is to your benefit if you can grab -1 ahead of kickoff.