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Expert Picks
We’ve seen poor teams on short weeks off a Monday night loss have value the following Sunday. I expect that from the Seahawks, who defeated San Francisco earlier this season. In fact, it was their last win with starting QB Russell Wilson. Expect Seattle's offense to finally make some big plays. Take the home underdog.
The 49ers’ recent commitment to the ground game has borne fruit with three smashing wins, and they surely won’t abandon the ball-control approach against a foe whose defense spends chunks of time on the field. Seattle’s time of possession margin (-11:57) is the league’s weakest by a big margin, and San Francisco has averaged 38:10 minutes with the rock during its streak. Unsung QB Jimmy Garoppolo has never lost straight-up as a road favorite and stands 6-3 ATS.
The slumping Seahawks offense signed Adrian Peterson this week. All better now, right? While Russell Wilson did look on Monday like he's improving incrementally after rushing back from surgery, the Seattle offense as a whole is still awful, putting together five straight three-and-outs in the second half of a close game against Washington. The 49ers defense has a strong 5.3 yards per play mark on the year, so I don't see this as the game the Seahawks offense comes together. The Deebo Samuel injury is a big hit for the 49ers offense, but between Eli Mitchell, George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk, I believe they have enough firepower to win by at least three points. Lay the -120 to get this on the key number.
I already picked the Under on this game and feel great about that pick. Wouldn't say great on this one but I do think this is the "Custer's Last Stand" of sorts for the Russell Wilson/Pete Carroll Seahawks. Lose this, and it all comes crashing down -- it probably will anyways this offseason. Seattle did play fairly better in Monday's loss at Washington. Largely, though, I'm taking these points because the Niners' offensive MVP, Deebo Samuel, and best defensive player, linebacker Fred Warner, are out. I do believe Seattle can win but certainly not lose by more than 3.
If you aren't betting Seattle Unders right now, you simply are not paying attention. Something is clearly amiss with Russell Wilson as the Hawks have totaled just 28 points in three losses in his return from a finger injury and he looks more like another, much worse Russell -- as in JaMarcus. The Seattle defense played well enough to win all three games. The Under is 9-1-1 in Seahawks games this year. Meanwhile, the Niners are expected to be without their most important offensive player (non-QB category) in receiver Deebo Samuel.