The Seahawks have been able to take advantage of some poor teams as of late. The Rams enter motivated at 9-5, coming off an awful loss and hoping to hang on to their wild card spot. I like Los Angeles' defense to give Seattle just enough trouble that the visitors pull off the outright win. The Seahawks are rightly favored at home, but there's a reason it's under a field goal.

This is a bad matchup for the Seahawks. LA has won the last two matchups by a combined 51-28. In the first meeting this season, Russell Wilson was sacked six times and LA capitalized on three Seattle turnovers. Jalen Ramsey covered D.K. Metcalf on 77 percent of his routes, allowing zero catches. Metcalf finished with two grabs for 28 yards). The Rams are coming off an embarrassing performance, but that was a lookahead spot to this game. They still control their own destiny to win the NFC West. Back the Rams to beat Seattle for the sixth time in eight tries under Sean McVay.

The Seahawks have given up 20 points or less in each of their last four games, but look at their opponents: three NFC East squads and the awful Jets. The Rams can be inconsistent on offense, but I trust them and their underlying statistics far more than the rest of the Seahawks' recent slate. And the Rams defense is unquestionably great, ranking first in points per drive and net yards per pass attempt, third in yards per rush and 10th in third down and red zone success rates. Seattle is also the more banged-up squad and facing a Rams team that will be angry coming off an embarrassing loss. Rams get the win and take control of the NFC West here.

A lot of numbers lean the Rams here, I grant, including they have covered three straight in the series and are a last-second missed field goal away in 2019 from being on a six-game winning streak in the series. However, I simply can't take a Jared Goff-led team over a Russell Wilson-led one in a big game. Seattle clinches the NFC West with a victory. In addition. Goff has had his issues in cold-weather games over his career, and it will be chilly in the Pacific Northwest. Goff will also miss injured rookie running back Cam Akers, who had clearly taken over as the No. 1. Seattle is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 as a home favorite of under three points. Also love the Under.

Jared Goff is good every other week, and this is a game in which he'll be on. The Seahawks almost let Dwayne Haskins pull off an upset against them. Russell Wilson isn't playing great and we're getting points with a Rams team that will definitely bounce back from last week's embarrassment.