The Broncos look to avenge a 43-16 home loss in Week 7. Denver's defense ranks 10th in DVOA and seventh in yards allowed per play compared to the Chiefs at No. 17 in DVOA. Kansas City's last three games have been a close call at home versus Carolina, a four-point win in Las Vegas and a three-point triumph at Tampa Bay. It failed to cover in all three. If there ever was a spot for a letdown, this could be it.

Last time these teams met, it was a snowy game that saw the Chiefs score in virtually every way possible. Fast forward to Sunday, and nothing really has changed for both teams. So I can't see anything being different on the scoreboard. Kansas City will have to learn to put teams away, and there's no better way to start than against a division rival.

The Chiefs are unstoppable when they're locked in, but their biggest letdown spots come at home. They lost at home to the Raiders, didn't come close to covering at home vs. the Panthers and sleptwalk through a home win over the Pats. After already annihilating the Broncos at Denver, and coming off showdown wins over the Bucs and Raiders, I'll look for a less than premium performance here. Drew Lock is back and he'll have all his key weapons. Grab the points as K.C. wins a 34-24 type of game.