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nfl - Sun 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC | FirstEnergy Stadium |

Philadelphia @ Cleveland

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
CLE -2.5
-2
Over / Under
45.5
45.5
ML
CLE -140
-180

Matchup breakdown

PHI
Cleveland
PROJ SCORE
3-7
W-L
8-3
4-7
ATS W-L
4-7
4-6
O/U
6-5
-3.6
PT DIFF
-1.9
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Fri 11/20

Philadelphia @ Cleveland | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Philadelphia +3

LOSS

Was hoping to get 3.5 with the Eagles, but that's not happening now that Myles Garrett has been ruled out. Philly will finally get back to its ground game Sunday, limiting Carson Wentz's mistakes. The return of left guard Isaac Seumalo is huge. The Browns are 6-3 but have been outscored by 28 points this season. They shouldn't be laying a full field goal here.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+66 4-3-3 IN LAST 10 CLE ATS PICKS

Mike Tierney

Top Dog
Fri 11/20

Philadelphia @ Cleveland | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland -3

WIN

This spread has stayed critically at a field goal in large part because of pass-rusher supreme Myles Garrett’s illness. He is declared out, but it may not matter since Philly QB Carson Wentz has been impotent against far less. He tops the unwanted daily double of categories with the most sacks and interceptions thrown. The Browns’ offense has been just as immobile lately, with 16 combined points scored in the past two games. Yet inclement weather was a factor, and relatively paradise conditions are expected in Cleveland’s third straight home gig. The usually powerful ground game should be all the Browns need.

+90 2-1-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+529 12-6 IN LAST 18 PHI ATS PICKS
+285 5-2-2 IN LAST 9 CLE ATS PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Sat 11/21

Philadelphia @ Cleveland | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland -2.5

WIN

With rain expected for this game, the conditions should favor the team that can run the ball and defend the run best, and in both cases that has been the Browns this season. The Eagles have also been the team more susceptible to turnovers this season, with the offense and defense both ranking in the bottom five of turnover rate (while the Browns defense ranks third). Not having Myles Garrett is tough, and the movement in the line has shown that, but I think the line was mispriced all along and would have liked the Browns up to 6 with Garrett healthy. Now that we're under the key number of 3, there's no reason to hold back any longer.

+490 45-36-3 IN LAST 84 NFL PICKS
+597 17-10-4 IN LAST 31 CLE ATS PICKS
+75 2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ATS PICKS

Emory Hunt

The Czar of the Playbook
Thu 11/19

Philadelphia @ Cleveland | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland -3

WIN

The Eagles looked completely out of sync offensively last week against the New York Giants. Their ineffectiveness resulted in a series of lost possessions. Against a much better team in Cleveland, those lost possessions will create a significant disadvantage in time of possession because of the Browns' ability to run the football. Defensively, Cleveland has a front four that's able to make that a reality against Philadelphia's offense.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+1111 30-17-1 IN LAST 48 PHI ATS PICKS
+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 CLE ATS PICKS

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
Sun 11/22

Philadelphia @ Cleveland | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland -2.5

WIN

This is simply a value pick at -2.5 ... I wouldn't touch it above that number as the Browns will be without stud pass-rusher Myles Garrett. However, I have no reason to trust Carson Wentz. Check out the news feed as weather might be a factor here too. Thus, I will go with the Browns because of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.

+295 14-10-1 IN LAST 25 NFL ATS PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 PHI ATS PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 CLE ATS PICKS

Bill Marzano

Veteran Handicapper
Sun 11/22

Philadelphia @ Cleveland | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland -145

WIN

The Eagles are not a good football team at all. QB Carson Wentz has 12 TD passes and just as many interceptions. Philadelphia's offense ranks 30th in the NFL with 17 turnovers, and the Browns have been very opportunistic on defense, ranking fourth with 15 takeaways. QB Baker Mayfield is really struggling, but Cleveland has two healthy RBs in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, who should run wild against an Eagles defense that ranks 26th versus the run as it's allowing over 133 yards per contest. Weather could be an issue, and a low-scoring game would play right into the Browns' hands.

+75 2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS

Philadelphia

player
QBCarsonWentz
18.49fan duel$7,400
19.45draft kings$5,700
20.59cbs sports
player
RBMilesSanders
13.81fan duel$7,700
16.67draft kings$6,900
12.36cbs sports
player
RBBostonScott
6.05fan duel$5,200
7.13draft kings$5,600
5.09cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
C. WentzCarson Wentz23/362441.601.100.4520.6
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
M. SandersMiles Sanders14.6780.315.30.1812.4
B. ScottBoston Scott4.9230.134.60.085.1
C. WentzCarson Wentz4.1190.334.70.4520.6
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
T. FulghamTravis Fulgham4.5630.4613.90.059.1
J. ReagorJalen Reagor2.9440.2615.00.066.0
D. GoedertDallas Goedert3.6390.2910.90.045.6
A. JefferyAlshon Jeffery2.2270.1712.40.024.0
G. WardGreg Ward3.3260.258.00.054.1
M. SandersMiles Sanders2.9250.088.60.1812.4
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
P. DSTPHI DST2.240.880.631.21.42.3

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

DeSean Jackson, Marquise Goodwin, Josh Perkins, Cre`von LeBlanc, Hassan Ridgeway, Craig James
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Cleveland

player
QBBakerMayfield
16.43fan duel$7,000
17.06draft kings$5,400
19.17cbs sports
player
RBNickChubb
13.9fan duel$8,100
15.92draft kings$7,000
13.35cbs sports
player
RBKareemHunt
11.57fan duel$6,700
13.2draft kings$6,700
10.57cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
B. MayfieldBaker Mayfield19/302181.800.860.0719.2
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
N. ChubbNick Chubb16.8840.705.00.1813.4
K. HuntKareem Hunt11.6520.374.50.1410.6
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. LandryJarvis Landry4.5590.3213.00.057.9
R. HigginsRashard Higgins3.0450.4314.90.037.1
A. HooperAustin Hooper3.5360.2510.40.045.1
D. Peoples-JonesDonovan Peoples-Jones2.2330.2415.00.134.6
D. NjokuDavid Njoku2.3260.3611.50.024.9
H. BryantHarrison Bryant2.0210.2910.40.113.7
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
C. DSTCLE DST3.241.100.901.61.82.7

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Odell Beckham, Myles Garrett, Andrew Billings, JoJo Natson, Curtis Weaver, Grant Delpit
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/22/2020 16:49 GMT