I've heard some NFL wonks say that the Ravens will not be flat off a huge Monday night game vs. Kansas City because they were dominated and will come out angry. I tend to disagree. Are the Ravens much better than Washington? No question. But I'll always take a home dog of +14-plus even if "home" doesn't quite mean what it used to these days. Plus, Pro Bowl Ravens offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley is out (so is Washington's Chase Young, though).

The Ravens are coming off a loss to the Chiefs on Monday night. I still have Baltimore's offense ranked second in the NFL, and I expect a big game from QB Lamar Jackson. The Ravens scored 71 points over the first two weeks of the season. Washington has gone over in two of its three games while losing rookie DE Chase Young (groin) and several other defensive starters. QB Dwayne Haskins has thrown 11 TD passes and 10 interceptions in his young career.

I don't like laying this many points on the road, but the Ravens will be highly motivated to make amends for their loss on Monday to Kansas City. The Chiefs are a tough matchup for Baltimore's defense, but Washington's injury-riddled offense won't be. My model says the Ravens cover more than 60 percent of the time, so you're getting good value at this number.

Baltimore looked completely out of sync offensively against the Chiefs last week. Fortunately for the Ravens, they face a Washington offense that has problems in protecting the QB, getting off to fast starts, and running the football. This matchup is a lopsided one, which explains the high point spread. You can definitely find comfort in the Ravens this week.