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Expert Picks
Kyler Murray was horrendous last week to the point that it almost looked as if he was purposely throwing a couple of those interceptions. As such, the Cardinals are getting about three points of value on this line. With DeAndre Hopkins set to play, Murray gets a significant, game-changing weapon back in his arsenal. The Panthers have played respectably well all season, and I like Teddy Bridgewater. But over four quarters, Arizona should come out of this with a comfortable win.
It took three Kyler Murray interceptions to end the Cardinals' winning streak, but Murray should bounce back against the NFL's 30th ranked defense by DVOA. It looks like DeAndre Hopkins will play (at least that's what his tweet Saturday implied). The worry is that Arizona's a very public side laying points on the road, but the line dipping to Cards minus-3 is a bargain price ... it's about the same as Raiders at Panthers in Week 1, when Carolina still had a healthy Christian McCaffrey. Lay the points.
Over the last few weeks, we've seen steady improvement from the Panthers on the defensive side. Last week against the Los Angeles Chargers, they were finally able to turn the ball over. Offensively speaking, they have shown to move the ball pretty well. QB Teddy Bridgewater does a great job of setting his team up for success each week. What they have on defense that gives them a shot in this game is the athleticism to matchup with Arizona.
I expect DeAndre Hopkins to play, and for Kyler Murray to rebound strong from his three-interception debacle. We're getting great value here on the Cards coming off an uncharacteristically bad performance. Lay it.
This line has moved well off the lookahead of Cardinals -5 based on the surprising results of last week, when the Cards lost as favorites and the Panthers won as underdogs. But the Cards were also -3 in turnover margin in their close loss, while the Panthers were +4 in the same stat in their close win. Don't overreact! The Cardinals offense is consistently good (and should remain so even if DeAndre Hopkins sits), and the defense has played great situational football, ranking first in third-down percentage and second in red-zone percentage. I love the Cardinals to roll here unless we have another wild turnover swing, which would surprise me.
One unexpected outcome for each -- a Cardinals loss, a Panthers win -- has shrunk this spread too much. Arizona was awesome in the two wins, then fell on a buzzer-beating field goal. Carolina dropped its first two games, then squeezed past the Chargers and their rookie QB. The gap between offenses is vast. Arizona’s is potent with budding QB star Kyler Murray; Carolina’s is crippled minus RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle). Assuming Murray does not serve up three interceptions again, the Panthers will stay south of 20 points -- well below what it will take for a W.
Kyler Murray isn't going to throw three interceptions this week, not against this defense. I think Arizona bounces back strong against a Carolina team that just snapped a long losing streak. Lay the points.