Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Though I’m getting the worst line of the week – I did NOT expect a 1.5-point swing overnight – there is no deterrence here. The Eagles should be a 6-point favorite against one of the worst defenses in the league. This is a bounce-back game for Carson Wentz, whose team has slowly gotten healthy around him over the last two weeks. Joe Burrow is going to be great for the Bengals, but he doesn’t have the Browns to shred here. A backdoor cover for Cincinnati is possible, but I see Philadelphia getting its first victory and cover of the season in a must-win game for a team with playoff aspirations.
Eagles running back Miles Sanders ran for 95 yards and a touchdown in his season debut last week, and he'll face a Bengals defense that was gashed by the Browns for 215 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. Both teams are 0-2, but the Eagles are the more desperate team. I expect them to play that way.
I'm not buying that the Eagles are bad, and I think they just got embarrassed defensively by a Sean McVay gameplan that took their lunch. But do note that one week after allowing eight sacks against Washington, this Philadelphia O-line held Aaron Donald and Co. sackless on the day despite having to pass a lot in a comeback bid. The Cincinnati defense should be a much easier matchup for this Eagles offense, and I expect a big day from Miles Sanders, who is off the injury report completely, after what we saw the Browns backs do to the Bengals. Plus we get to play a profitable 0-2 ATS trend with Philly. Lay the points.
The Eagles are starting to get some guys back. Cincy's defense is horrific. I think Carson Wentz will finally play a good game this week. Lay the points.