Seattle has lived on the edge all season, with 10 of its 11 wins decided by a one-score margin. The exception was an earlier meeting with Arizona, but that was in rookie quarterback Kyler Murray’s fourth game. The Cardinals buried a six-game slide on Sunday by pounding Cleveland. Seahawks defensive tackle Al Woods, suspended this week, was filling in for customary starter Jarran Reed, also suspended. The Cardinals can take advantage of a void in the middle of Seattle’s D-line. Take Arizona.

The Seahawks have gone 4-2 at home this season, but those four home wins have come by a total of 15 points. This is a Seahawks team that has made a habit out of winning close games, which probably isn't sustainable in the long run, nor a good sign for their Super Bowl hopes. It's also not a great sign for their chances of covering nearly 10 points against a Cardinals team that has gone 4-1-1 ATS on the road this season.

This Seahawks team just isn't built to win games by double digits, having done so just once all year (albeit against this Cardinals team) despite currently owning the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The Cards have shown they can struggle against great defenses, but with Seattle ranked 21st or worse in net yards per pass attempt and net yards per rush, I don't think they qualify. Seattle showed last week that they can't keep the back door closed, and with Arizona scoring at least 26 in four of their six road games, I'm not worried about them stumbling away from home.

I'm not crazy about Seattle. Last week when the Seahawks lost two defensive players, Carolina came back strong. The Seahawks haven't beaten anyone badly at home. With Kyler Murray and Kenyan Drake, the Cardinals have two guys who can hurt you. This will be a close game.

The Seahawks have been a bad bet at home this season. While they handled Arizona 27-10 on the road, they've yet to win any home game by more than a touchdown. And, they have a massive game with the 49ers on deck. Arizona is 5-1 ATS on the road. The Cardinals can play loose after snapping their six-game skid, and Kenyan Drake's emergence takes the burden off Kyler Murray. Even if the Seahawks get up big, we saw just last Sunday how they leave the back door open. Grab the points.