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Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Jaguars were once competitive this season with Gardner Minshew, but then Nick Foles got healthy and took back the starting job. And then Minshew soured when they brought him back to start. They've lost five straight, the last two with Minshew. The Raiders come in losing their last three, looking extremely bad in all of them, but Sunday is their last game in Oakland. Whatever they have left in the tank will be used. Raiders to cover.
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier, but I'll still go Over given the Raiders' lack of defensive talent and the Jaguars' lack of defensive effort. These are two of the four worst defenses in the NFL, per DVOA.
One of these teams is playing its last home game in front of a passionate fan base before leaving Oakland presumably forever. The other one looks like it's quit on the season, with the Jaguars getting blown out by at least 17 points in five straight. Even with the Raiders' recent issues, you can't make this line high enough for me to not lay the points. I worry about a bad Raiders secondary letting Jacksonville in through the back door, but their lead may be big enough to not even matter. The smartest bet is likely Raiders first half, but I'll trust them to get it done over 60 minutes too.
The Raiders have lost three straight by at least 21 points, but if there’s one team that’s been even worse it’s the Jaguars, who’ve lost their last five by at least 17 … and now they have to face the Raiders in what's likely their last-ever game in Oakland. Last year the Raiders were a 2.5-point underdog and won by 13 when they thought it could be their Oakland finale, and Jon Gruden will get them fired up for this one too. Lay the points.