Both of these defenses have played well, with the Patriots being the best allowing only 8.0 points per game and 234.7 yards per game. But the Jets seemed to get a confidence boost last week against Dallas when Sam Darnold led some drives and gave the defense a chance to catch its breath. Between the crowd, Monday night, and the opponent being the Patriots, I look for an intense Jets defensive effort to help keep this game Under like six of the last seven meetings have gone.

I like this game to go Under, and the lower the scoring, the easier it will be for the underdog to cover a big line. The Jets offense found some life last week with Sam Darnold back at quarterback, and even though the Patriots defense has been phenomenal, I believe the Jets offense won't completely be shut down like they were with Luke Falk at the helm. And the Jets defense is legitimately good, ranking 11th in points per drive and fifth in yards per rush allowed. One interesting nugget: The Pats have been road favorites 12 times between 8.5 and 10.5 points since 2012 and are just 3-9 ATS in that range.

The Jets are still averaging only 3.1 yards per carry. If they're one-dimensional, New England will roll. Bill Belichick had extra time to prepare and the Pats' secondary won't let Robby Anderson beat them deep. They won't make the same mistakes Dallas made last week. With their defense, the Pats won't have to score much to cover this number.

There's a lot of excitement surrounding the Jets following their upset of the Cowboys. But Sam Darnold's presence hasn't bridged the gap between these teams that much. The first meeting was not competitive. The Pats failed to cover only because of two fluke touchdowns. Now that the spread has dipped below a key number, New England is a solid play. New England has won seven straight meetings, with the last four decided by 16, 35, 14 and 20 points. Lay it.

I've been all over Patriots Unders this year, and I'm not going to shy away just because it lost in a Thursday night game that featured three non-offensive TDs. The first meeting between these teams also went Over thanks to non-offensive TDs, but the Jets offense looked much better last week with Sam Darnold back under center. That doesn't mean they'll have success against a New England defense that has allowed just three offensive TDs all year. The Jets defense is 11th in points per drive and fifth in yards per rush, so I don't know if the Patriots offense will be back in the 30s this week. That pushes this one Under.

I know that everyone is loving what they saw from the New York Jets last weekend against the Dallas Cowboys and giving credit to QB Sam Darnold. What needs to be talked about is how this Jets defense performed as well. Also, there was about a quarter-and-a-half stretch in that game, in which both teams constantly exchanged punts. That mid-game lapse in offensive productivity can't happen against one of the best teams in the NFL. Lay the points with the Patriots.