This is all about the two defenses in this game. On one hand, the Cowboys should be able to get whatever they need with Ezekiel Elliot on the ground, which will allow Dak Prescott to attack one of the worst pass Ds that Dallas has faced in weeks. Then you have the Bucs, which are an all-or-nothing offense, going up against a team ranked top 10 against the pass and the run. The Cowboys are much better at home, and they're motivated coming out of a tough shutout loss last week against the Colts. Roll with Dallas in Big D.

The Cowboys are going to come into this game angry after being shut out by the Colts last week, and this game suddenly means a great deal for them in their bid to win the division. Ezekiel Elliott should have a big game against a Bucs defense giving up 164.2 rushing yards per game over its last five, and Amari Cooper should have a big game against a Bucs defense that's terrible at stopping No. 1 receivers. The Cowboys defense should also rise up against a Tampa Bay offense that just isn't playing well right now. The Bucs are flat on the road here, while the Cowboys give max effort and win running away.

The Cowboys have won six of seven at home this season, covering five of them, while the Buccaneers have won only once in seven road games. The Bucs allow 37 ppg on the road and overall they've allowed 130 ypg on the ground. Running the ball is the strength of Dallas and after being embarrassed last week, I look for the Cowboys to play extremely well this week. Cowboys get the cover.

The Bucs have a soft run defense. They've given up over 100 yards rushing in nine straight games. Lay the points with the Cowboys, who will bounce back.