The Vikings' defense is nearly back at full strength and I expect them to throttle Detroit like they did the first time, when they sacked Matthew Stafford 10 times. Lay the points as Minnesota makes its playoff push.

Minnesota is coming off a 24-point win over Miami and I love to fade teams coming off big wins. It doesn't hurt that the Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS the week after a win this season, either.

Detroit scored 13 points last week and Matthew Stafford has three TD passes over his last five games. The Lions are missing their top running back and they've only got one healthy legitimate wideout. Minnesota ran the ball 40 times last week, and that really helps Kirk Cousins and the defense. Minnesota needs the game, and Detroit is horrible. This is a bargain at 5.5.