The Lions come in with extended rest off of Thanksgiving, and the Rams are coming off a bye week. Most stretches in early December are recipes for low totals in the NFL. Not here. Look for both teams to score at a high volume as the rest pays dividends.

The Rams have been an ATS money-burner this year, and now they're laying double digits on the road. Ezekiel Ansah is practicing fully for the first time since last season. Even if LA goes up by two touchdowns, Matthew Stafford can lead the Lions to a backdoor cover. Grab the points.

The Rams have had trouble covering games this season despite their 10-1 record. In fact, they've covered just once in their last eight games. So why exactly are we making them massive road favorites? This is two points more than the Rams were even laying in San Francisco. While Detroit has endured a rough stretch lately, they were 5-1 ATS before having to face the tough defenses of the Seahawks, Vikings, Panthers and Bears (twice). The passing attack is good enough to get the backdoor cover if needed, and the Rams defense isn't good enough to stop them.

The Rams are coming off a bye, but the Lions are well-rested themselves, having last played on Thanksgiving. The Rams are obviously the better team, but I'm not willing to trust a defense that's allowing 25.6 points per game as a double-digit favorite on the road.