The Saints are the best team in the league. This should not be newsworthy as I've been saying it in this space for the last six weeks. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are coming off three straight wins over less-than-stellar competition and are being overvalued in this spot. Amari Cooper looked good on Thursday, but he did not face the kind of opposition he will this week. If New Orleans can slow Ezekiel Elliott, it should be able to pick up extra possessions and run away with this thing by double digits. It has not gotten past me that the undefeated Saints lost in this exact spot a few years ago, but the Cowboys had Tony Romo in that game, not Dak Prescott with some injured linemen.

The Saints have covered nine straight games, including all five of their road games. Their rating keeps getting inflated each week, and they're rated No. 1 overall, but at some point, the spread has to catch up to them. This spread hitting +7.5 is basically saying the Saints are 10-points better than Dallas on a neutral field. Maybe a month ago, but the Cowboys are hot and they've got things figured out while riding a three-game win streak (3-0 ATS). Look for Dallas to contend for the win, led by Ezekiel Elliott, who has 100-plus yards in his last three. His last five 100-yard games have all been Dallas wins. Dallas is the play.

I actually like the matchup in this game between the Saints offense and the athleticism of the Cowboys defense. The Cowboys are lengthy along the defensive line and athletic within the back seven. New Orleans definitely has gotten better on the defensive side of the ball as well. Where they will have to step up in this game is in the run defense department. Are they stout vs the run because teams get down quickly and stop running it? Or is it because they are actually good at stopping the run? We know Dallas will test that theory with Ezekiel Elliott, while also trying to shrink this game.

I was really glad to see the Cowboys cover a big number on Thanksgiving, because that's what kept this line to a touchdown. The Saints have covered nine straight, and they've allowed just 12.6 points per game over their last three. Marshon Lattimore will slow down Amari Cooper, enabling New Orleans to focus on Ezekiel Elliott. The Saints are outstanding against the run: they allow a league-low 73.2 yards rushing per game, and rank second with 3.6 yards allowed per carry. The Saints have covered every road game this season, and, in general, AT&T Stadium does not provide a massive homefield edge. Saints win by double digits.