Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The Seahawks defense certainly doesn't deserve comparisons to the Legion of Boom gang that once was, but I am seeing a lot more steady play as they've slowly moved up to be the No. 7 ranked defense. The conservative offense has just seven turnovers and the defense has forced 16 takeaways. Despite them losing 33-31 at Seattle last month, the Seahawks' plan has been to slow things down, muddy it up, and it's working with Unders in their last three and six of eight. They also stayed Under, 16-10, in a win at L.A. last season. Under is the play.
Rams games have gotten to at least 48 points in all but one of their last seven games, so if this Over misses it won't be by much. The Seahawks offense showed they could move the ball consistently on the Rams in their first meeting, and though Seahawks games have gone Under in six of their last seven, the one exception was the 33-31 game against the Rams. Against a team with a legit offense, the Seahawks' run of Unders should come to an end.
You should be able to get 10 points here, and I'd take them. The Seahawks offense has been running the ball well, with 150+ rushing yards in five straight, and the Rams don't have a great run defense. Seattle engineered several long TD drives in the first meeting between these two teams, so the 33-31 score wasn't fluky. In the Russell Wilson era, the Seahawks are 9-1 ATS as more than three point 'dogs, and the one loss was earlier this year by seven points, so it's not likely they got blown out there. Count on them to keep it close yet again.
The Rams have not been a good investment this year, only covering one game out of their last four. Russell Wilson didn’t play well for Seattle last week until the fourth quarter, then he nearly brought them back. He was off his game, but I think the Seahawks will come back and play well against the Rams, who are missing CB Talib, and Marcus Peters is not playing well, either. They have a weakness in their secondary. And I think Seattle’s defense is playing pretty well. This is too many points.
Los Angeles began slipping before Sunday’s straight-up loss at New Orleans. In the last half-dozen dates, the Rams have covered once. Seattle pushed L.A. to the brink last month at home, falling by two points. With an average yield of 19.5 points per game, the ‘Hawks rank fifth in the league. Quarterback Russell Wilson has been as sharp as strong cheddar cheese. His team’s four losses have been by eight, seven, three and two points. A double-digit spot is extreme with an above-average team in the underdog role.
Despite the loss to the Saints, the Rams still were in position to win after battling back from a 21-point deficit. They face a Seahawks team that's in much better shape than they were earlier in the season when the played a 33-31 nail-biter. If you can slow down or stop Todd Gurley, you can compete well against the Rams. I like how the Seahawks look on both sides of the ball. I'm willing to chalk up Sunday's effort against the Chargers as a mulligan. Take the Seahawks and the points.
Back in Week 5, the Seahawks hung tough all game with the Rams before falling short, 33-31. The rematch is in L.A. but the projections show Seattle keeping this decision within one score. The Rams have failed to cover the spread in four of their previous five games. Seattle is usually a tough out regardless of where these teams play and my simulations indicate the 'Hawks covering the spread 60 percent of the time.