Now that the Packers are back home in their element, with temperatures around freezing projected, the public is dishing out lots of love for them. Too much, in fact. Green Bay is 2-4 straight-up in its last half-dozen games, its wins against easy touches Buffalo and San Francisco. All bets are off if Miami OTs Laremy Tunsil and Ja’Wuan James are scratched, but both have practiced this week. Green Bay has just staggered out of a Rams-Patriots schedule gauntlet, both at night on the road. The Pack might need more time to reset.

This is the first home game the Packers have played in a while. The Dolphins ran only 20 plays in the second half, against the Jets they scored their only TD on a pick. Their offense is dead. Green Bay should run it up on them pretty good. The number doesn’t worry me.

This line seems like a lot to me, considering how well the Dolphins are playing defensively. I get it. Vegas doesn't believe in Brock Osweiler and the Miami offense. Neither do I, but can you truly count on the talented but highly inconsistent Packers offense? I don't think you can with any conviction. So, we'll more than likely see a defensive struggle. I think the Packers will win the game as talent always wins out in the end, but they definitely will have to work hard for it. Take the Dolphins and the points.