Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The time to take the Bucs was early in the week, and if you wait to play them until Sunday I think you can get at least +4 on the line. The Cincy offense hasn't looked great since the Tyler Eifert injury despite playing suspect defenses, and the Tampa defense played much better last week with the switch in defensive coordinator. The Bucs have a much better yards-per-play differential, and I like them to move the ball consistently with the Bengals' injuries on defense.
I always like to look for teams coming off blowout losses as the public tends to overreact, and last week the Bengals lost to the Chiefs 45-10 on Sunday Night Football when the entire country was watching. As a result, a team that should be a 6-point favorite at home against this Bucs team is available at 4.5 points.
Cincinnati is very good at home against bad teams, and Tampa definitely qualifies.