Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
I don't get the massive line move here, as Amari Cooper hasn't been effective in the passing game and Marshawn Lynch isn't worth a ton of points on the line. The Colts continue to deal with a bunch of injuries, and with Marlon Mack questionable, I'm not sure they'll be able to establish the run. Andrew Luck could carry them to a win, of course, but on the road against a Raiders team that should be more focused, I think it's tough to expect a 2-5 team to win big. The Colts did give up 37 points in three straight before facing an awful Bills offense. Raiders are the value play.
Oakland’s offense has indisputably taken a step back with RB Marshawn Lynch (groin) going on injured reserve and WR Amari Cooper going to Dallas via trade. What about Indy? While Raider Nation still mourns the departure of LB Khalil Mack, another Mack — Colts RB Marlon (ankle) — is iffy. With Robert Turbin (shoulder) ailing, Indy could be rail-thin at the position. Oakland’s previous two games have produced 36 and 30 points, and the team has been Under in six of the last seven at home. The Colts have landed Under in six of the past eight away. Both offenses are ranked in the league’s bottom half.
Andrew Luck is playing great, and the offensive line is doing a great job of protecting him. The Raiders are dismantling their team, and I don't think coming off a bye is going to help them. Lay the field goal.
While the Colts are brimming with confidence, the wheels are falling off the Raiders' wagon. Oakland, which is coming off a bye, needs to get juiced up on offense, where it has mustered a grand total of 13 points over its last two games. Andrew Luck is starting to find his touch and running back Marlon Mack is coming off a season-high 126-yard performance. My simulations indicate the Colts covering nearly 60 percent of the time by about seven points.