Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
There is understandable concern about Aaron Rodgers' health, but ultimately, if you're giving me less than a field goal with Green Bay against a team that has yet to really prove anything to me thus far this season, I'm going to stick with the known quantity and take the risk. Aaron Jones may prove to make a bigger impact than some expect -- if he gets snaps -- and Rodgers is always primed to make a big come-from-behind run at the end of a game if necessary. I simply don't buy into the Redskins' defense yet just because it held the Cardinals to six points. I'll go contrarian with the rest of the SportsLine crew here.
I don't trust Green Bay in this game, don't think they're going all-out with Aaron Rodgers. Alex Smith will have a big game and the Redskins will put up a lot of points.
Aaron Rodgers is still not 100 percent and coming off two very emotional games versus division rivals, leading to a letdown Sunday. The Redskins are coming off a loss at home to Indy which makes them a hungry home team.
Betting against Aaron Rodgers is rarely fun, but the value is too strong to ignore. With a small downgrade to Rodgers, my model makes this game a pick'em with the Packers on the road. Take the points.
I don't have confidence that Aaron Rodgers will continue to put up his usual excellent numbers while basically playing on one leg. Washington's pass defense has been excellent so far, particularly against the short passing game of Arizona in Week 1. They're also playing ahead of an early bye and getting Green Bay coming off an overtime game. This is a game the home team should be able to win outright as 'dogs.
Vegas is siding with the Redskins on this total. The Packers' total has been 45 and 45.5 in their two games, and the Over hit in both. But each of the Redskins games this season has totaled exactly 30 points. My projections lean strongly toward a Packers-like final score, as opposed to the low-scoring totals that Washington's brought.
Green Bay ventures out for the first time this season on the road, where it has fallen straight-up four of the last six outings. The beloved Packers tend to get overbet, so it’s no surprise they have neglected to cover four games in a row. So far, Washington is a difficult read. To the Redskins’ credit, the defense has allowed the fewest yards in the league. Factor in QB Aaron Rodgers’ limited mobility, and the Packers are unlikely to go all A-Rod crazy as they often do at home. A close game looms, in which case receiving (points) is better than giving.