Last year’s AFC conference championship game featured the exact final score of Sunday’s total in 44 points. Expect both teams to have offensive gameplans centered around the passing game, as both teams are dinged up in the backfield. Grab the Over here.

The Patriots defense is vastly improved from last year when they ranked 27th in the NFL in yards per play allowed. The Jags tied for first last year allowing just five yards per play and their defense could be even better this year. Jags Leonard Fournette is very questionable and I hope he does not play which will slow down their. offense.

The Patriots played tough on Sunday against a fired-up Texans team with one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the league. New England was able to match Houston's intensity play for play. Jacksonville picked up a big Opening Day road win in the Meadowlands despite getting burned by rookie Saquon Barkley. The simulations project the Pats taking this game 60 percent of the time by an average of five points. Back the Pats to go 2-0.

I was at the Jags-Giants game last week and the Jaguars' defense is still excellent. Their offense is still all running game, it was the Fournette show early before he left with a hamstring injury, and then T.J. Yeldon afterwards. Blake Bortles is still the weakest link on that side of the ball, and the receivers aren't the same explosive crew they were to start the season. This one will look like the rematch of last year's AFC title game in every way.

The Patriots defense looked much improved in Week 1 against a Texans offense for which many had high hopes. The Jaguars offense on the other hand didn't inspire any sort of confidence against the Giants, punting the ball on every second-half possession until the clock hit zeroes and only scoring one offensive TD in the game. Tom Brady always has the ability to ruin an Under play, but if there's any defense that has a chance of limiting the Patriots to a low point total, it's this one.