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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Broncos moved back into the No. 1 slot as the NFL's top defense and it's those metrics that have fooled the LV ratings showing Denver as a road favorite. It's the second straight road game Denver has been favored on the road which is hilarious considering they have yet to win or cover a road game this season. Dating back to last season, Denver is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games. Great defense, but an awful road QB with Trevor Siemian. Colts win outright here.
Going into last week, the Broncos ranked last in DVOA and last by a mile in weighted DVOA, which gives more consideration to how a team has performed recently than over the entire season. Now, after beating a bad Jets team at home (in a game where Bryce Petty saw significant action), we're making them road favorites? They're 0-6 on the road this year, including double-digit losses to the Bills and Dolphins. The Colts play well at home, where they've held fourth-quarter leads in all but one game. The wrong team is favored here.