Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The Eagles were awful against the Seahawks but even worse was Philadelphia's coaching and its lack of aggressiveness early. With the Eagles staying out West and free of distraction following that loss, there should be no question that it learned its lesson from the top on down after that defeat. The Rams are legitimate this season, but their homefield advantage is basically nonexistent. Give me what I have felt has been the better team all season.
The Eagles stayed out west after losing to Seattle, so travel won't be a factor. When the Rams step up in competition, they usually struggle. Take the points with the all-around superior team.
In my opinion, the Rams have had the most generous schedule of any division leader in the NFL. They’ll get another beneficial matchup Sunday as they host an Eagles team that continues a West Coast road trip. This time of the year, with players banged up, makes it more difficult for a road team to perform at peak levels The simplified offense of the Rams should bode well against an Eagles team that may need to scale down its own varied attack.
These teams are extremely evenly matched, as they are tied for the top scoring average in the NFL at 30.1 points per game. Defensive numbers also are nearly identical, with the Eagles yielding 17.9 points per game and the Rams allowing 18.5. We'll give the Rams a slight edge Sunday because of current form and home-field advantage.Philadelphia was felled by conservative playcalling and a vulnerable secondary last week against Seattle, arguably the best opponent it has faced thus far. The Rams should have success in their passing game, and I suspect the majority of the public will support the bounce-back angle with the Eagles.
Home field for the Rams has an edge that I rank in the bottom fourth of the league. The fans show up late and leave early to beat traffic, and although the winning has gotten the city on board with support, Cleveland offers a bit more intensity from its fans supporting an 0-12 team. The Rams have gone 2-3 ATS at home this season. But make no mistake, they're good everywhere. However, I've got the Eagles staying in Los Angeles practicing this week after their Sunday night loss at Seattle. No long flights. It's a good bounce back spot for them, and a gut check with home field in the playoffs up for grabs. Plus the price is being offered with no inflation and actually offers Philly value. Last week Philly was up to an inflated -6 at Seattle. They finally lose and public perception isn't backing them? I've got Philly 2.5-points better than the Rams on a neutral field, which means pick 'em is more appropriate here. I'm not sure this game gets to Rams -3, so I'm playing this on the spread and the money line.
The Eagles continue their West Coast trip against the Rams. Where they have to show they can win is on the outside versus tight coverage. Conversely, can Jared Goff consistently beat the pressure he’ll see from the Eagles' front seven? I don’t see Goff being able to evade pressure well in this one. Take the points.
The Eagles were 2.5-point favorites on the lookahead line, but this has now swung five points after they lost in a tough matchup in Seattle. That's way too much of an overcorrection for me, and the Eagles have typified a team that's strong mentally and resilient in the face of adversity during their run to the top of the NFC. I think they bounce back well from a loss and run up the score on the Rams, a team that can be run all over and slowed a bit offensively. Expect the Philly faithful to show up at the Coliseum and erase home-field advantage while the better overall team gets the win.