I like taking the Jags coming off a loss, in a supremely attractive matchup against a team they thoroughly dismantled earlier this year. Lay the points.

Once a constant Over team, the Colts have watch their totals go Under in four of their last five games, including three straight. The Jaguars consistently get tagged with low totals yet managed to go Under as well more often than not, with five Unders in a six-game stretch before last week's road game with the Cardinals. This should be another game where the Jaguars hold their opponents to less than 10 points, and that will give the Under a great chance at cashing again.

The Jaguars have a great chance to bounce back here coming off a loss against a mediocre team, which should have the defense motivated to play well against the league's worst offense, per DVOA. Indy continues to fall apart in the second half, and they should be close to packing it in for the year. They have zero reason to play hard for Chuck Pagano, a mortal lock to be coaching his final games for the team. The Jags outgained the Colts 518-232 in their previous meeting, and I wouldn't be shocked to see a similar game to that 27-0 shutout. Six of Jacksonville's seven wins have been by double digits, so don't worry about laying the points.