Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The Titans have only covered two of their last eight games, while the Texans continue to compete hard for Bill O'Brien. Grab the points.
Even though Deshaun Watson won't be on the field this time around, I expect there to be a lot of points in this game. The Titans don't have a great pass rush to exploit the Texans' offensive lines issues, and they don't have anyone that can cover DeAndre Hopkins. Tom Savage has started to play better the last two weeks and should do his part to pushing this total Over. Tennessee has been an Over team this year, with it hitting in seven of their 11 games.
While the Titans have won five of their last six games, I'm not sure they're a good team. Only one of those wins was by more than four (the first Colts win, which was close until late), and their offense has been pretty pedestrian this year. They're supposed to be a great rushing team, but they've topped 100 yards on the ground just twice since the start of October. The Texans do play the run well (ninth in DVOA), and they held the Titans under 200 yards of offense in their first meeting. Tom Savage moved the ball well against a good Ravens defense, and this matchup should be much easier. And no Titan can cover DeAndre Hopkins.