The Lions have been getting gashed on the ground, and I'm expecting Alex Collins to have a huge day. Back the Ravens and their defense, which allows under 14 points per game at home.

The Ravens are known for having an elite defense, but of the six quarterbacks they've beaten this year, the best is Andy Dalton. Matthew Stafford has the chance to put up a good game despite the matchup. The Ravens have also seen several of their games go Over in recent weeks, and it's not like the Lions have a great defense. With six of the Lions' last seven games going Over, I fully expect this one to add to that total.

The Ravens aren't as good as their 6-5 record would lead you to believe. Here's a list of the quarterbacks their elite D has beaten: Tom Savage, Brett Hundley, Matt Moore, EJ Manuel, DeShone Kizer and Andy Dalton in Week 1. Matthew Stafford will be able to move the ball on this defense and get enough team to get his team a win. That'll come easier with the Lions' middle-of-the-pack defense against one of the worst offenses in the league. If there's a huge QB disparity and you're still getting points, that's a great position to be in.