I don’t think the Titans are getting enough credit for some of the defensive adjustments they’ve made since Week 3. They’re playing much better up front. Their offense is getting much healthier. Pittsburgh still has a penchant for sleepwalking for stretches of games. That’ll hurt the Steelers here. Take the points.

The Steelers rank 19th in points scored this season, pending the outcome of the league's Monday matchup. Every game but one has ended in regulation with the total points registered at between 32 and 39. (The overtime game produced 40 and the outlier 43.) The exaggerated sense of their offensive prowess is nothing new. Going back to early in the 2014 season, Pittsburgh is 35-15-1 on Unders. An Over in this game would require a season-high for points by Pittsburgh and its opponent, which means Tennessee must contribute mightily to the total. Well, the Titans rank 18th on offense. By relying on the run, they are not a quick-strike team. Since a 37-point outburst in their road opener, Tennessee has limped to 14, 10 and 12 points scored itself at away games. And it needed overtime to get out of single digits in the most recent one. An Over/Under does not get more obvious than this one. If one more stat is needed to close the case, try this: The Under has prevailed in Pittsburgh's last four Thursday nighters.

Seven points? Really? The Steelers have scored 20 or fewer in two-thirds of their games. The Titans have not lost straight-up since Oct. 8. Those factors suggest the spread belongs a few points south of a touchdown. Pittsburgh might have the marquee cast on offense — Big Ben, Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Bryant — but I’ll settle for Marcus Mariota and the best RB tandem in the league, DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Pittsburgh has fallen three consecutive times outright on Thursdays, and the Titans have covered in five of seven lately in the series. Never turn down a good underdog being gifted a fuil TD.

The Steelers and Titans come in on four-game win streaks and this will only be the Steelers' fourth home game after going 5-1 on the road. The Titans are 2-2 on the road. The most interesting thing about this match-up is the Steelers being the best Under team in NFL at 8-1 while allowing just 16 ppg and having the No. 2 defense going against Tennessee, the best Over team at 6-3. I'm looking for Marcus Mariota to be harassed all game and not come close to his team's 22 ppg average. Under is the top play here and Steelers likely get the cover as well.