One of my golden rules is not to bet against the Packers -- particularly in Lambeau. But that's generally with Aaron Rodgers at the helm, not Brent Hundley. While I believe Hundley will play much better on Monday night, he's also facing a Lions defense better than that of the Saints, one he struggled against. Detroit may not have much of a running game, but it has a dynamic receiving corps and experienced starting quarterback who has a penchant for making plays late in games. If this is close down the stretch, I'm leaning on Matt Stafford and the Lions' seventh-ranked defense (DVOA) over Hundley despite the fact that Detroit is on a 1-26 stretch inside Lambeau.

The Lions are the best 3-4 football team in the NFL; with just a little luck they could be 6-1. Last week they held the Steelers to 20 points and still lost despite Matt Stafford throwing for over 400 yards versus a great pass defense. The Packers scored just 17 points against the Saints with Brett Hundley under center. He'll be slightly better with the time he's had to prepare, but it's a steep hill to climb. This is a big divisional game for both teams. Go Under.

The Lions have had trouble in close games all year, but I look for them to take advantage of the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers on Monday night and get a much-needed road victory.

Brett Hundley didn't play nearly well enough in his first start, but the Packers were able to get to halftime with a lead thanks to excellence from the rushing game and the defense coming up with two interceptions. Hundley should be better after a week off, and a healthier offense should be able to continue running the ball and putting him in spots to succeed. The Lions have lost three straight, including two at home, and they have no run game to lean on if they happen to have the lead. Fade the curious line move after this opened as a pick, and expect the Packers to come up with a win here.

It’s all about continuity and timing when you’re talking about success in the passing game. New Packers QB Brett Hundley has now had two weeks to work on both with the starting receivers. You combine that with the fact that the Packers' ground game has depth and is effective, and we should see a lot of Lambeau Leaping on Monday Night.

I have a feeling this game is going to run past -3, so I laid it already. I realize that Brett Hundley can't possibly be as bad as he's been after a bye week with coach McCarthy instilling some confidence and doing some play calling that is more suited for his style, but the Packers rating is still down there with some of the worst teams just because of Rodgers being out. Don't wait until Monday night to bet this, get it early. Detroit is the play.