I typically don't like to lay this big a number, but the Falcons are healthy coming out of a bye and lead the league with 1.2-yard per play difference (6.2 on offense, 5.0 on defense), while the Dolphins have gotten nothing from Jay Cutler and are last in the league with a negative-1.2 YPP number. With the league's worst offense, I don't see how the Dolphins will keep this close, as the Falcons should have a double-digit lead at halftime. Bonus pick: A three-team 10-point tease of Atlanta, Denver and Washington seems almost too easy.