Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
The Giants will look completely different on offense with Odell Beckham on the field. The opening line at -5 was significantly more efficient than the current price at -3. Lay it.
We saw this match-up in a similar situation in December and the Giants came away with a 17-6 home win, covering and staying Under the total. The problem with supporting the Giants to cover this time around is them scoring only 3-points at Dallas last week. They gained only 35 yards on the ground. The better play here is keeping it Under again. Detroit is Under in nine of its last 12 and NYG is Under in eight of its last 10. Under is the top play.
A week ago, the Giants were perceived as being far better than the Lions. The Giants' season win total was 9 with a lean on the Over, and the Lions' win total was 7.5 with a lean on the Under. Here's what happened in the last week: the Giants got beat up on the road without their best player by a team that went 13-3 last year, and the Lions won a home game against a maybe-overrated Cardinals team that was close until David Johnson got hurt. Getting the Giants at -3 is basically a free bet; they're winning this game by at least a field goal.
The line is telling me these teams are even, with the Giants getting 3 points for home field. But they're not even. The Giants handled Detroit 17-6 at home late last season and I'm expecting something like 23-14 this time. Expect Odell Beckham to play and expect New York to look completely different on offense. Lay the field goal.