First team to 10 in this one wins. Neither offense has much to hang their hat on aside from a solid running game, but once things tighten up in the red zone both teams will have trouble punching it in. And that's when these offenses can churn out four-yard gains consistently and get beyond midfield. The only thing that should scare you about this pick is if the defenses can put a touchdown or two on the board.

The Jets are going to be awful this year, sure. But so are the Bills, who have spent the offseason clearing the deck of almost all of their talented players. Robby Anderson should burn the Bills secondary for at least one TD, and the Jets front seven is solid enough to slow down the Bills rushing attack, considering they don't have to play the pass that seriously. Remember, while the Jets front office might be playing for the future, the guys on the field are going to be doing anything but tanking.

Anytime a team is spotted nearly double digits with a total as low as 40, the underdog is worth a serious look. Yes, looking at the Jets is akin to staring at the sun during an eclipse, but consider the opponent. Bills QB Tyrod Taylor has been cleared from concussion protocol, which drove the line up from eight, but he is coming out of a wretched August with a 27.9 passer rating. (Yes, it was the preseason, but still.) The departure of WR Sammy Watkins means RB LeSean McCoy carries a disproportionately heavy burden. Jets QB Josh McCown is no great shakes -- not even good shakes -- but the veteran and a decent defense should be able to keep it reasonably close.

Every year there’s a Week 1 upset in the NFL. The Jets, despite their obvious rebuilding effort, will be very good on defense and will be able to run the football. Buffalo is limping into the season at the QB position and traded off a lot of valuable assets for 2018 draft picks. I like the Jets to go into Orchard Park and keep this close.