Sweating the under in a game with weapons like Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown on one side of the ball and one of the best kickers in the league on the other is never fun. However, this total has reached a level that gives me a clear pick on the Under. My simulations have this game projected for 42 points, providing a large edge on the Under 46.5

Yes, Baltimore has beaten the Steelers four straight times. But the last time the Steelers had Big Ben, Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown on the field together against Baltimore, they won 43-23. (In Nov. 2014). The Ravens won't have top corner Jimmy Smith to defend Brown. And I don't think Baltimore will be able to keep up offensively. Joe Flacco has thrown seven TDs against nine INTs on the road this year. Lay the points as the hosts finally break through in this bitter rivalry.

The Ravens have won the last four (3-0-1 ATS) against the Steelers, including 21-14 last month, and the last three meetings have stayed Under the total. Pittsburgh has won and covered its last five games and comes in playing its absolute best. But I like the Ravens to hang in there and expect it to be a 3-point game. There's a lot at stake here for both teams with huge playoff implications. Defense will be the star of the game, so Under is my top play.

The Steelers have won and covered in five straight, but I'm not sure I agree with this line with these two teams fighting each other for the AFC North title. Baltimore brings an elite defense into this matchup and has been playing well on offense lately, averaging just under 30 points per game in their last three. Ben Roethlisberger hasn't played that well in recent weeks despite Pittsburgh's win streak, and Baltimore has a defense capable of slowing down Le'Veon Bell. This could turn into a FG battle, and the Ravens have an excellent weapon there as well.